Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Betting Pick 05/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-15

Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays will be taking the field against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will be televising this interleague matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Odds

The Marlins are only 10-30 straight up (SU) and 14-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 17.1 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 25-15 SU and have gone 24-15 against the spread. They’ve accumulated 0.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 8.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Marlins games have had an over/under record of 17-21-1 thus far in 2019. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 17-20-2.

Right-hander Ryne Stanek is projected to start for the visiting Rays. Stanek is 0-1 with a 2.57 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 2.25 ERA and five strikeouts across four innings).

The Marlins are going with righty Jose Urena (1-5, 4.82 ERA), who has 32 punchouts and 15 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.48. Urena only made one start against the Rays in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.46 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.45 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

The Miami hitters are putting up 2.6 runs per contest, including 1.9 per game over its last 10 games and 1.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .201/.262/.231 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ offense so far. Castro is hitting .232/.281/.297 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Anderson’s line is .230/.311/.304 with 34 hits, 10 RBIs and five runs.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starters own a 2.44 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 10.38 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.34, along with a WHIP of 0.96.

The Rays offense has slashed .255/.336/.433 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Tampa Bay’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia, who’ve collectively belted 12 home runs. Pham is slashing .284/.402/.432 with five home runs, 18 RBIs, 17 runs and six stolen bases, while Garcia is hitting .296/.358/.519 with seven homers, 17 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 4.1 units and are 16-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 9.1 units and are 10-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven outings.

The Rays have an OPS of .769 this season and an OPS of .789 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .589 overall and .581 against righties.

The Marlins have dropped nine of their last 10 games SU.

Tampa Bay has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.8 over its last five.

The Rays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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