Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 08/22/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-22

Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles will play host to the Tampa Bay Rays at Camden Yards. The matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Tampa Bay (-225) is favored against Baltimore (+205) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. This game currently has a runline of Rays -1.5 (-150) and Orioles +1.5 (+130).

The Rays have gone 74-54 SU this year and are 64-63 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 41-86 SU and 53-73 ATS. They’ve lost 17.1 units for moneyline bettors and 24.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 65-52-9 in 2019. The Rays have an over/under record of 59-61-7.

Ryan Yarbrough will get the nod for Tampa Bay. The southpaw Yarbrough (11-3, 3.34 ERA) has recorded 88 punchouts in 104 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are sending righty Asher Wojciechowski (2-6, 4.78 ERA) to the mound. Wojciechowski has 56 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Wojciechowski is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.74, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 6.31 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 60 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.15.

The Baltimore offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .253/.359/.449 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles’ batters have been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and outfielder Trey Mancini. Villar is slashing .278/.349/.454 with 17 home runs, 57 RBIs, 84 runs and 28 stolen bases, and Mancini is hitting .273 with 29 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.46 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.32 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.67, along with a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 9.50.

Rays hitters have slashed .252/.327/.428 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows have paced Tampa Bay’s offense. Pham is hitting .265/.369/.452 with 19 home runs, 54 RBIs, 59 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Meadows (.276/.346/.517) has produced 21 homers, 62 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 5.3 units and are 37-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.8 units and are 19-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 17 which went under the total.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has hit in only two of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.

The Rays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 15 over their last 10.

The Rays have a team OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .762 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .721 overall and .712 versus righties.

The Tampa Bay defense has permitted 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Baltimore over its last 10.

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