Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Lightning and Maple Leafs. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Get ready to place your bets! This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 6.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Lightning.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, April 3rd.

WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:

  • Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Lightning.
  • We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+106)
  • The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Will Tampa Bay Make it Happen on the Road?

Heading into tonight’s game, the Lightning are 6th in the Eastern Conference standings with 89 points and a record of 41-26-7. In their division, Tampa Bay is 4th with a record of 9-12.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have been on a roll, going 8-2. On the road this season, Tampa Bay has a record of 18-16-3 and is the underdog tonight.

On the road this season, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 18-19 and an average scoring margin of -.3 goals per game. Overall, the Lightning have gone 39-35 against the puck line, including 30-24 as the underdog.

Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 8-2, and they have gone 4-1 against the puck line in their last five road games. So far this season, the Lightning have 30 wins by multiple goals.

The average goal total for Tampa Bay’s games is sitting at 6.8. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 35-35-4.

The Lightning are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.

On the offensive side, the Lightning are scoring an 3.5 goals per game this season, ranking 6th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 22nd in the league. The Lightning went 23-13 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 17-11.

Tampa Bay’s leading scorer is Nikita Kucherov. So far, he has 42 goals which is 8th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 85 assists so far.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 18th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 9th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 47 games this season. His current record stands at 28-17, and his save percentage is 0.857%.

Can the Maple Leafs Lock in a Home Win?

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 21-13-3, and they have won three straight games overall. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is in fifth place and third in the Atlantic Division. When favored, the Maple Leafs have gone 36-16-7 this season, and they have won two straight games as the favorite.

Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4, and they have won three straight games. For the year, Toronto has gone 43-22-9, and they have gone 19-23 against other Eastern Conference teams. At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 21-13-3.

At home this season, Toronto has a puck line record of 14-23 and an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game. So far, the Leafs have played 59 games as the favorite and have a puck line record of 19-40.

Currently, Toronto has a puck line record of 30-44, including winning their last three games vs. the puck line. In their last ten home games, the Leafs have a puck line record of 5-5.

The average goal total for Toronto’s games is sitting at 6.8. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 40-32-2.

The Lightning are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.

On the offensive side, the Maple Leafs are scoring an 3.6 goals per game this season, ranking 3rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 7th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 11th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 19th in the NHL.

Toronto’s leading goal scorer is Auston Matthews. So far this season, he has 62 goals, placing him 1st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Matthews has 36 assists this season.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 18th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 9th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Goalie Joseph Woll comes into the game having made 20 starts this season. So far, his record is 11-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.549%.