The Lightning and Flyers are set to face off at 7:00 ET on NBCS. The Flyers will host the game at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. In this Eastern matchup, the Lightning are favored by -1.5 goals against the Flyers. The over/under for the game is 6 goals.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS PHILADELPHIA FLYERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Flyers +1.5

This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.

WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA FLYERS:

  • With a 1.5 goal advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Lightning to secure a 4-3 victory.
  • Take the Lightning on the moneyline
  • On the puck line, we like Flyers (+1.5)

Is A Road Victory Likely for Favored Tampa Bay?

As the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference, the Lightning have a record of 32-23-5 and have won two straight games. On the road, Tampa Bay is 14-15-2 and has won four straight games away from home. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Lightning are 16-17.

Overall, Tampa Bay has been favored in 34 of their 60 games and has a record of 22-11-1 as the favorite. Against teams from the Atlantic Division, the Lightning are 6-10 and are in fifth place in the division.

When playing on the road this season, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 14-17 and an average scoring differential of -.5 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have 23 wins by multiple goals and 21 losses by multiple goals.

Overall, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 31-29, including going 5-5 in their last ten games. In their last three games, the Lightning have gone 2-1 vs. the puck line, and their road puck line record this season is 6-4 in their last ten.

For the season, Tampa Bay’s games have finished with an average of 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Lightning have an over/under record of 27-29-4.

In their last three road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 1. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.

On the offensive side, the Lightning are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 5th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 18th in the league. This year, the Lightning have recorded a 20-12 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 12-9 record.

Tampa Bay’s leading scorer is Nikita Kucherov. So far, he has 38 goals which is 4th in the NHL. Kucherov also comes into the game with 64 assists.

The Flyers defense is currently 27th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 27.8 shots per game against Philadelphia. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 11th with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy gets the start and has made 34 starts this season. His record at this point is 20-14, and his save percentage is 0.785%.

Can the Flyers Secure a Win at Home?

At home this season, the Flyers have gone 14-13-2, and they have lost two straight games overall. In the Eastern Conference standings, Philadelphia is in 8th place with 67 points, and they are 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. Against other teams from the East, the Flyers have a record of 12-18.

As the underdog, Philadelphia has gone 19-17-6 this season, and they have lost three straight games as the underdog. Over their last ten games, the Flyers have gone 5-5, and they are 1-4 in their last five games.

Philadelphia enters the game with a puck line record of 36-23 this season, including a mark of 7-3 in their last ten games. The Flyers have been the underdog in 42 games this season, posting a puck line record of 31-11 in those contests.

So far this season, the Flyers have 18 wins by multiple goals and have dropped 15 games by more than one goal. In their last ten games at home, Philadelphia has a puck line record of just 4-6.

This season, Philadelphia’s games are averaging 6 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.1. The Flyers currently have an over/under record of 24-32-3.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.

The Flyers come into the game scoring an average of 2.9 goals per game, putting them 19th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 1st in the league. This season, the Flyers are 21-13 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 7-9 record.

Philadelphia’s leading goal scorer is Travis Konecny. So far this season, he has 27 goals, placing him 21st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Konecny has 27 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Flyers head into the game ranked 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 27.8 shots per game against Philadelphia. So far, they are 11th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Goalie Samuel Ersson gets the start and has made 30 starts this season. His record at this point is 16-11, and his save percentage is 0.692%.