Planning on watching today’s Lightning and Islanders game? Catch the action at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY, as the Islanders hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN. This Eastern conference matchup has an over/under of 6 goals, and the Islanders are favored by -1.5 goals vs. the Lightning.


The Pick: New York Islanders -1.5

This game will be played at UBS Arena at 8:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.


  • Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Lightning winning this game by a score of 4-3.
  • We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+109)
  • The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Will the Lightning Win on the Road?

As the sixth-place team in the Eastern Conference, the Tampa Bay Lightning have an overall record of 27-19-5, and they have gone 12-13 against other teams in the East. On the road, the Lightning are 10-14-2 this season, and they have gone 8-2 in their last ten games.

When they have been the underdog this season, Tampa Bay has gone 8-10-4, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In games against teams from the Atlantic Division, the Lightning have gone 5-8 this season.

As the underdog, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 13-9 this season. They have gone 26-25 against the puck line overall, including a road puck line mark of 10-16.

So far, the Lightning have 19 wins by multiple goals compared to 17 losses by more than one goal. Their average scoring margin for the year is +.2 goals per game.

This season, Tampa Bay’s games have an average of 6.7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under performance of 23-24-4.

Through their last three road contests, the Lightning offense has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. Tampa Bay posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.

The Lightning come into the game scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, putting them 4th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 16th in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 1st in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 26th in the NHL.

The leading scorer for Tampa Bay’s offense is Nikita Kucherov. Coming into the game he has 32 goals, ranking 4th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 54 assists so far.

Defensively, the Islanders are currently 2nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 34.7 shots per game against New York. They also are 6th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. New York, goalie Jonas Johansson has started 21 games in this season. His current record is 10-6, and his save percentage stands at 0.689%.

Can New York Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

At home this season, the Islanders have gone 12-6-7, and they have been favored in 23 of their 50 games. In the Eastern Conference standings, New York is currently in 9th place and 4th in the Metropolitan Division. Over their last ten games, the Islanders have gone just 3-7, and they have lost two straight games as the favorite.

Overall, the Islanders have a record of 21-17-12, and they have gone 14-15 against other Eastern Conference teams. In their last five games, New York has gone 2-3, and they have gone 1-2 over their last three games.

At home this season, the Islanders have gone 10-15 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin in those games is -.3 goals per contest. So far, New York has gone 24-26 vs. the puck line, and their puck line record as the favorite is just 5-18.

Overall, the team has 14 losses by more than one goal, and their average scoring margin as the underdog is -.7 goals per game. In their last ten games at home, the Islanders have gone just 5-5 vs. the puck line.

On average, New York’s games have finished with 6.3 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6. In total, the Islanders come in with an over/under record of 27-20-3.

Across their three previous road games, Tampa Bay has an puck line mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 2 goals per game.

On the offensive side, the Islanders are scoring an 2.9 goals per game this season, ranking 23rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 18th in the league. This season, the Islanders are 6-6 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 15-11 record.

The leading scorer for New York’s offense is Brock Nelson. Coming into the game he has 21 goals, ranking 31st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Nelson has 18 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Islanders head into the game ranked 2nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 34.7 shots per game against New York. So far, they are 6th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Goalie Ilya Sorokin gets the start and has made 35 starts this season. His record at this point is 15-12, and his save percentage is 1.0%.