Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Lightning and Canadiens. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Canadiens at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC. Get ready to place your bets! The Lightning are favored by -1.5 in this Atlantic divisional contest against the Canadiens. The game’s over/under currently sits at 6.5 goals.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS MONTREAL CANADIENS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Montreal Canadiens +1.5

This game will be played at Bell Centre at 7:00 ET on Thursday, April 4th.

WHY BET THE MONTREAL CANADIENS:

  • With the Lightning being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Lightning.
  • Take the Lightning on the moneyline
  • On the puck line, we like Canadiens (+1.5)

Will Tampa Bay Make it Happen on the Road?

At 42-26-7, the Tampa Bay Lightning are in 4th place in the Atlantic Division and 6th in the Eastern Conference. In the Eastern Conference, they have gone 23-20, while they are 10-12 against divisional opponents. On the road, the Lightning have won two straight games and are 19-16-3 this season.

Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay is 8-2 and has gone 4-1 in their last five games. For the season, the Lightning have been favored in 44 of their 75 games and have gone 28-14-2 as the favorite. In their last three games, they have gone 2-1.

On the season, Tampa Bay is 40-35 against the puck line, including going 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten games. They have 31 wins by multiple goals compared to 11 wins by just one goal.

When playing on the road, the Lightning have gone 19-19 against the puck line and 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten road games. In their last five games away from home, the team has gone 4-1 against the puck line.

This season, Tampa Bay’s games are averaging 6.7 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.5. The Lightning currently have an over/under record of 35-36-4.

Tampa Bay has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 5th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 22nd position in the league. So far this year, the Lightning are 23-13 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 18-11 in games with fewer shots on goal.

Tampa Bay’s leading scorer is Brayden Point. So far, he has 43 goals which is 7th in the NHL. Point also comes into the game with 40 assists.

In terms of defense, the Canadiens head into the game ranked 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.4 shots per game against Montreal. So far, they are 25th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Montreal, goalie Matt Tomkins has started three games in this season. His current record is 1-2, and his save percentage stands at 0.277%.

Will the Canadiens Win at Home?

At home this season, the Canadiens have a record of 15-18-4, and they have gone 5-1-0 in games where they are the underdog. Over their last ten games, Montreal has gone 5-5, and they have a record of 29-33-12 overall, which has them in 8th place in the Atlantic Division and 15th in the Eastern Conference.

Over their last five games, the Canadiens have gone 4-1, and they have a record of 24-32-12 when they are the underdog. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, Montreal has gone 15-27 this season.

As the underdog, the Canadiens have a puck line record of 46-22 this season and 48-26 overall. So far, Montreal has gone 12-22 in road games with multiple-goal losses.

On the year, the Canadiens have an average scoring margin of -0.6 goals per game, and they have gone 7-3 against the puck line in their last ten games. In their last five home games, Montreal has a puck line record of 4-1.

This season, Montreal’s games are averaging 6.2 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.3. The Canadiens currently have an over/under record of 36-36-2.

Across their last three road contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 3 goals per game.

Offensively, the Canadiens come into the game at 2.7 goals per contest placing 27th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 28th position in the league. This season, the Canadiens are 6-9 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 23-23 record.

Montreal’s leading scorer is Nick Suzuki. So far, he has 32 goals which is 23rd in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 39 assists so far.

In terms of defense, the Canadiens head into the game ranked 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.4 shots per game against Montreal. So far, they are 25th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Tampa Bay, goalie Cayden Primeau has started 17 games in this season. His current record is 8-7, and his save percentage stands at 0.464%.