Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Lightning versus the Panthers? The puck drops at 6:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at FLA Live Arena in Sunrise, FL. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Panthers are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Lightning.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS FLORIDA PANTHERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5

This game will be played at FLA Live Arena at 6:00 ET on Saturday, March 16th.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA PANTHERS:

  • With the Panthers being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Take the Panthers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Lightning (+1.5)

Can the Lightning Offense Score Enough on the Road?

With a record of 35-25-6, the Lightning are currently in 6th place in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 5-5 and they have won two straight games.

On the road this season, the Lightning have gone 14-16-2, and they have been the underdog in 27 of their 66 games. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Tampa Bay has a record of 19-19.

On the season, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 33-33, and they have gone 14-18 on the road. Overall, the Lightning have 25 wins by multiple goals compared to just 10 one-goal victories.

Over their last 10 games, the team’s puck line record is 4-6, and they have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line in their last 10 road games. So far this year, the team has gone 17-22 vs. the puck line when they are the underdog.

The average goal total for Tampa Bay’s games is sitting at 6.8. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 32-30-4.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.

For their offensive performance, the Lightning come in averaging 3.4 goals per game this season, which is 5th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 22nd in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 3rd in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 24th in the NHL.

Tampa Bay’s leading goal scorer is Nikita Kucherov. So far this season, he has 39 goals, placing him 6th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Kucherov has 73 assists this season.

Florida defense takes on the Lightning ranked 28th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 27.7 shots per game against Florida. They also are 8th in shutouts, with 5 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Florida, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 40 games in this season. His current record is 23-16, and his save percentage stands at 0.807%.

Will Florida Find a Way to Win at Home?

At home this season, the Panthers have gone 21-9-2 and have won eight of their last ten games. Over their last five games, Florida is 3-2 and 45-18-4 overall. In the Eastern Conference, the Panthers are in first place and have a record of 26-10 against conference opponents.

Against teams in the Atlantic Division, Florida has gone 12-4 this season. As the favorite, the Panthers have gone 39-13-2 and have been favored in 54 of their 67 games. In their last three games, the Panthers have gone 2-1.

Florida comes in with a puck line record of 34-33 and has gone 5-5 over their last ten games against the puck line. So far, the Panthers have gone 24-30 against the puck line when favored and have 28 wins by multiple goals.

At home, Florida has gone just 11-21 against the puck line and has a scoring margin of +.6 goals per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Panthers have gone 4-6 against the puck line.

This season, Florida’s games have an average of 5.7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.3. The Panthers come in with an over/under performance of 24-40-3.

Tampa Bay has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

When looking at their offense, the Panthers have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 10th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 1st in the league. This season, the Panthers have a 32-15 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 9-3 record.

Florida’s leading scorer is Sam Reinhart. So far, he has 46 goals which is 2nd in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Reinhart has 31 assists this season.

Defensively, the Panthers are currently 28th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 27.7 shots per game against Florida. They also are 8th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Tampa Bay, goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has started 48 games in this season. His current record is 32-13, and his save percentage stands at 0.936%.