Scotiabank Arena will be the site for an intriguing matchup as the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning. This Atlantic Division matchup gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 10 and it is being televised live on Fox Sports Sun.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

With a moneyline of -115, Tampa Bay comes into the matchup as the slight favorite. The line for Toronto is standing at -105, and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 7 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -115 for the over and -105 for the under.

Tampa Bay is 43-26 straight up (SU) and has earned 0.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. Through 69 regular season contests, 36 of its games have gone over the total, while 29 have gone under and just four have pushed. As a road team this season, the Bolts are 21-14 SU.

Tampa Bay has converted on 23.6 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s good enough for sixth-best in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 11th overall, and the team’s successfully killed off 81.9 percent of all penalties.

The Bolts, as a collective unit, have been penalized 4.2 times per game this season, and 6.2 per game over its last five on the road. The team’s had to defend opponent power plays an unhealthy 15.4 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Averaging 28.2 saves per game with a .917 save percentage, Andrei Vasilevskiy (35-16-3) has been the primary option in goal for Tampa Bay this year. If it chooses to rest him, however, the team may turn to Curtis McElhinney (8-10-3 record, .906 save percentage, 2.89 goals against average).

Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos will both be relied on to produce for the visiting Lightning. Kucherov has 84 points on 33 goals and 51 assists, and has recorded two or more points in 26 different games. Stamkos has 29 goals and 37 assists to his credit (and has registered at least one point in 41 games).

On the other side of the rink, Toronto is 35-34 straight up (SU) and has lost 12.6 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 69 regular season outings, 38 of its games have gone over the total, while 28 have gone under and just three have pushed. It’s 17-16 SU at home this year.

The Maple Leafs have converted on 22.4 percent of their power play chances this season, a mark that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 22nd overall, and it’s successfully killed off 77.2 percent of all penalties.

The Maple Leafs have been penalized only 3.1 times per game this season, and 2.4 per game over their last five contests. The team has been forced to stave off opponent power plays just 7.0 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Frederik Andersen has stopped 27.5 shots per game as the top choice in goal for the Maple Leafs. Andersen has 28 wins, 23 losses, and seven OT losses to his name and has registered a mediocre 2.89 goals against average and a subpar .908 save percentage this season.

The Leafs will be led on offense by Auston Matthews (46 goals, 33 assists).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions

Free NHL Pick: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay is 2-1 in games decided by a shootout this season while Toronto is 1-5 in shootouts.

Toronto has averaged 3.4 goals per game overall this year, but has been averaging 1.0 goal per matchup on its three-game losing skid.

Tampa Bay skaters have dished out the league’s eighth-most hits per game (23.9).