Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys – Free Pick Week 16

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Sunday, 12/23/2018 at 01:00 pm TAMPA BAY (5-9) at DALLAS (8-6)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
101TAMPA BAY 48 24.6 28.8 5-9 6-7-1 8-6-0 97.9 318.9 416.8 128.1 258.4 386.5
102DALLAS -7 19.7 19.2 8-6 7-6-1 6-8-0 130.9 215.5 346.4 93.4 224.1 317.5

Last Updated: 2018-12-19

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) are traveling west to visit the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds

Dallas is giving up 7 points in this NFC game. The Buccaneers are currently getting +230 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -280. The over/under is set at 46 points. If one squad finds paydirt early, it’ll probably generate a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game.

The Buccaneers are 5-9 straight up (SU) while the Cowboys are 8-6 SU. The Buccaneers are 6-7-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.8 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 8-6.

The Cowboys have gained 4.5 units this season. The team is 7-6-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-8.

The Bucs fell to Baltimore 20-12 in a Week 15 matchup where Jameis Winston completed just 13 passes on 25 attempts for 157 yards and one interception. Peyton Barber (85 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack. Mike Evans (four receptions, 121 yards) and Adam Humphries (four catches, 23 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Dallas were just shut out 23-0 by Indianapolis in Week 15. Dak Prescott completed 24-of-39 passes for 206 yards and one interception. Ezekiel Elliott had a monster statline in the loss. In addition to 87 rushing yards on 18 attempts, Elliott also reeled in seven receptions for 41 yards.

Tampa Bay has run the ball on 38.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Dallas has a rush percentage of 46.2 percent. The Buccaneers have run for 98 yards/game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cowboys are totaling 131 rush yards per contest and have 11 total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then the Cowboys should have the advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has produced 4.7 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Buccaneers have rushed for 4.0 yards per carry while allowing 4.8 YPC to opponents.

The Bucs have averaged 334 yards in the air overall and have 31 passing scores so far. The Cowboys have put up 238 pass yards per game and have 17 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Tampa Bay has allowed 128 rush yards and 274 pass yards per game. Dallas has been significantly better than that, giving up 93.4 rushing yards per game and 239.1 to opposing teams in the air. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.47 to opponents, while the Buccaneers have given up a 7.72 ANY/A.

Winston has amassed 2,098 pass yards on the year. He’s connected on 170-of-257 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Winston’s got a 6.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.12 over the past two outings.

As a group, Mike Evans, Peyton Barber and Adam Humphries have combined to account for 405 total yards over the last two outings.

Dak Prescott has put up 2,882 yards, 14 TDs and six INTs for Dallas. His ANY/A sits at 5.75 for the season and 5.44 across his last two games.

Similar to the Buccaneers, expect a balanced approach offensively from Dallas this Sunday. As a trio, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper and Blake Jarwin have combined to account for 681 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick

SU Winner – Cowboys, ATS Winner – Cowboys, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes

The Over/Under for Tampa Bay’s last game was set at 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-12 defeat to Baltimore.

Tampa Bay has averaged 4.1 yards per rush attempt over its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.

Dallas has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.

Dallas has lost nine fumbles this season while Tampa Bay has let seven get away.

Over its last three games, Tampa Bay is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Dallas’ last outing was set at 47. The under cashed in the 23-0 defeat to Indianapolis.

In its last three games, Dallas is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Buccaneers offense has tallied 13 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cowboys have put up eight such plays.

The Tampa Bay defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Dallas has given up six such plays.

The Tampa Bay offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Dallas has created 10 such runs.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed 15 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Cowboys have given up seven such runs.

The Tampa Bay defense has sacked opposing QBs 36 times this season. Dallas has recorded 35 sacks.

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