Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions Week 15 Betting Pick

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-12-10

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) are heading north to visit the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. FOX will televise the action and this early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions Betting Odds 12/15/2019

Tampa Bay is favored by 3.5 points in this NFC game. The Buccaneers are currently being given -160 moneyline odds while the Lions are +140. The over/under is set at 47.5 points, and if one team can catch a lucky break early, it would likely create a worthwhile live betting opportunity.

Early action has shifted in favor of the Lions. The opening line was 4.5, while the game’s total has not changed after being initially set at 47.5.

The Buccaneers are 6-7 straight up (SU) while the Lions are 3-9-1 SU. The Buccaneers are 4-8-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.4 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 10-3.

The Lions are down 6.2 units this season. They’re 6-7 ATS and eight of their games have gone over the total.

Detroit enters this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Tampa Bay has lost zero in a row. The Buccaneers continue to be on a roll after a 38-35 win over Indianapolis in Week 14. The passing attack could’ve been better as Jameis Winston completed 33-of-45 passes for 456 yards, four scores and three interceptions. Ronald Jones II (just 36 rushing yards on 11 attempts) and Peyton Barber (34 yards on 11 carries) provided the ground attack while Chris Godwin (seven receptions, 91 yards) and Justin Watson (five catches, 59 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Detroit just suffered a 20-7 loss to Minnesota in Week 14. David Blough completed 24-of-40 passes for 205 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Bo Scarbrough (65 rushing yards on 19 attempts) mounted the running game as Kenny Golladay (six receptions, 58 yards, one TD) and Danny Amendola (five catches, 34 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Tampa Bay has run the ball on 39.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Detroit has a rush percentage of 42 percent. The Buccaneers have rushed for 95 yards per game and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Lions are logging 103 rush yards per contest and have four total rushing TDs.

The Bucs have averaged 318 yards in the air overall and have 26 passing scores so far. The Lions have produced 282 pass yards per game and also have 26 total pass TDs.

Tampa Bay has let opponents run for an average of 75 yards and pass for 299 yards per game. Detroit has allowed 118.2 rushing yards per game and 289.2 to opposing teams in the air. The Bucs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.64 to opponents, while the Lions have given up a 7.7 ANY/A.

Winston probably has the edge over Blough in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.01for the year (and 7.65 over the last two outings). Blough’s ANY/A is 2.02 for the year and 4.06 across his past two games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions Betting Prediction

SU Winner – Buccaneers, ATS Winner – Buccaneers, O/U – Under


Betting Trends

The O/U for Tampa Bay’s previous game was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-35 win over Indianapolis.

Tampa Bay has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.5 over its last two.

Detroit has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its past two.

The Detroit offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Tampa Bay has lost nine.

In its last three games, Tampa Bay is 2-0-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Detroit’s previous outing going into it was 44. The under cashed in that 20-7 loss to Minnesota.

In its last three games, Detroit is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Detroit has lost 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a five-point victory over New York on October 27th accounting for its only win over that span.

The Buccaneers offense has recorded 12 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Lions have accounted for 10 such plays.

The Tampa Bay defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Detroit has given up nine such plays.

The Tampa Bay offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Detroit has created four such runs.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Lions have given up five such runs.

The Tampa Bay defense has 34 sacks on the year while Detroit has just 25.

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