Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Orange and Tar Heels. The game is starting at 12:00 ET on ESPN, and it’s hosted by the Tar Heels at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC. Get ready to place your bets! This Atlantic Coast conference matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points, and the Tar Heels are favored to win at home vs. the Orange.
SYRACUSE ORANGE VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Syracuse Orange +13
This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center at 12:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE SYRACUSE ORANGE:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Tar Heels.
- Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like Syracuse at +13.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Will the Orange Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?
As a road underdog, Syracuse has gone just 1-4 this season. Over their last 10 road games, the Orange are 4-6. For the season, Syracuse is 2-3 on the road.
Coming off a win over Boston College, Syracuse has gone 11-4 this season. Their record in the Atlantic Coast Conference is 2-2, while they have gone 9-2 in non-conference play.
As the underdog this season, Syracuse has gone just 1-4 against the spread. On the road, the Orange have an ATS mark of 2-3 this year and they are 4-6 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Syracuse has a poor ATS record of just 1-7-2.
This season, the over/under record for Syracuse games is 7-8 and today’s line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149.8). So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points and their OU record during this span is 2-1.
Compared to their season average of 76.9 points per game, Syracuse struggled in their previous game. Against Boston College, the Orange scored 69 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.7%. The top scorer for the Orange was Chris Bell with 20 points, while Maliq Brown also chipped in with 19 points.
On the defensive side, Syracuse is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 70.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.1 threes per game vs. North Carolina. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.6%.
Can the Tar Heels Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
North Carolina has been dominant at home this season, as they are 8-1 and have won their last four games at home. Over their last 10 games at home, the Tar Heels are 9-1, and they have an average scoring margin of +17.7 points per game.
So far this season, North Carolina has been favored in 13 of their 15 games, and they have gone 11-2 in those games. They come into this game against Syracuse on a five-game winning streak, and they are 12-3 overall.
As the favorite this season, North Carolina has an ATS record of 8-5 and an overall ATS mark of 9-6. In their last three home games, the Tar Heels have gone 2-1 vs. the spread and are 5-4 ATS at home this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, North Carolina has a 7-3 ATS record.
North Carolina’s over/under record for the season is 8-7 and today’s line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (153). So far, six of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 122 points.
In contrast to their season average of 82.5 points per game, the North Carolina had a below average performance. They scored 67 points against North Carolina State and had a field goal percentage of 38.7%. RJ Davis is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 20.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Armando Bacot brings a PPG average of 14.5 into the game.
So far, the Tar Heels’ defense is ranked 127th in the country at 69.7 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Syracuse, the North Carolina defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, North Carolina made 16 free-throws vs. the Tar Heels.