The top seed in the West Region, the Gonzaga Bulldogs are slight favorites on Thursday in the Sweet Sixteen as they take on the #4 seeded West Virginia Mountaineers. The Mountaineers are coming off an impressive win against Notre Dame on Saturday, while the Bulldogs just got past Northwestern. The Bulldogs are not getting a ton of respect from the oddsmakers, as they are just 3-point favorites in this contest. Let’s look at the matchup and Sweet Sixteen picks.
The Mountaineers play the Bulldogs in the Sweet Sixteen on Thursday, March 23rd at the SAP Center in San Jose, California.
Sweet Sixteen Odds
Gonzaga -3, total 147.5
West Virginia vs. Gonzaga
The Mountaineers are in the Sweet Sixteen for the fourth time under head coach Bob Huggins. They had no trouble with Notre Dame on Saturday, as they won 83-71. Jevon Carter had 24 points in what was an easier than expected win for the Mountaineers. West Virginia’s press forced Notre Dame into 14 turnovers and the Mountaineers took full advantage, as they led from start to finish.
The Mountaineers are scoring 82 points per game and giving up about 67 per contest. The Mountaineers have gone over in their last three games.
The Bulldogs are coming off an erratic performance on Saturday, as they just got past Northwestern 79-73. Gonzaga played really well in the first half of the game but nearly let a big lead slip away in the second half. Gonzaga clamped down on Northwestern in the first half and it was the defense that saved the day for the Bulldogs.
Gonzaga is scoring 84 points per game, while giving up 61 per contest. The Bulldogs have gone under in five of their last seven games.
The Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. West Coast conference. The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Bulldogs are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite. The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Big 12.
The Over is 4-0 in the Mountaineers last 4 non-conference games. The Under is 8-3-1 in the Mountaineers last 12 games as an underdog. The Under is 5-2-1 in the Mountaineers last 8 NCAA Tournament games. The Under is 9-3 in the Bulldogs last 12 vs. the Big 12. The Under is 5-2 in the Bulldogs last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Under is 18-8 in the Bulldogs last 26 non-conference games.
Sweet Sixteen Picks
I don’t think Gonzaga has played well yet in this tournament, yet they have made the Sweet Sixteen. The Mountaineers played about as well as they could in the win over Notre Dame on Saturday and I don’t think they can repeat that performance against the Bulldogs. I expect the best game of the tourney for Gonzaga on Thursday, so I will lay the points.