2018 Westgate SuperContest Week 10 Recap

Last Updated: 2018-11-13

Week 10 of the NFL season provided something of a reversal of fortunes for the field. The top-five consensus wasn’t a total disaster, but after going 14-1 over the previous three weeks, the five most popular sides came in at 2-3 this past weekend. Unfortunately, we weren’t able to take full advantage here at BangTheBook.

That’s not to say that it was a bad week, as two of our three entries came out on the plus side, but with time running out to make moves, some of those 4-1 and 5-0 weeks need to be achieved. We aren’t the only ones thinking that, as there are a lot of people in this field chasing down the money or the leaders.

There were 3,123 sign-ups for this year’s SuperContest, which forced organizers to increase the number of payouts from the top 50 plus ties to the top 100 plus ties. After Week 10 results have been tabulated, that means that 120 people will get paid, or less than four percent of the field.

Yeah, this thing is tough.

Of course, with 128 entrants in the SuperContest Gold and only one lucky person paid, your chances of making something are still higher in the traditional SuperContest. But, it’s all about the chase. When you whittle your entry down to $17.65 per pick, it doesn’t seem like that bad of a proposition for the chance at something great.

The BangTheBook Podcast entry walked away from Week 10 with bragging rights after a 3-1-1 week. The BangTheBook.com Gold entry came in at 3-2 and the BangTheBook traditional entry came away 2-3. The swing game was Monday Night Football, as the Giants won and covered for the Podcast entry and the 49ers came up short for the BangTheBook entry. That was one of two differences of opinion between the two entries and host Adam Burke of BangTheBook Radio came away with both of those wins.

The BangTheBook entry still holds site bragging rights at 27-20-3, but the BangTheBook Podcast entry is now 10-4-1 over the last three weeks to improve to 20-24-6. It still isn’t a great record, but considering how things started, it is some really positive progress. With the 3-2 showing, the BangTheBook.com Gold entry is 25-22-3.

The Titans matched across all entries and got a checkmark after beating the Patriots outright as a big dog. The Browns were a winner for the BangTheBook and BangTheBook.com Gold entries. The other winner on the Gold card was the Chargers. As mentioned, the Seahawks/Rams and Giants/49ers games were differences of opinion for the two traditional cards and the Podcast entry was on the right side of both games. The push was the Colts, who should have been a winner, but let Jacksonville come back from a big deficit.

Here are the week-by-week results for the 2018 SuperContest:

  Wins Losses Ties Win Percentage
Week 1 8391 6066 1063 58.04%
Week 2 6015 9580   38.57%
Week 3 8429 7156   54.08%
Week 4 7809 6169 1622 55.87%
Week 5 6545 8106 929 44.67%
Week 6 7089 7655 816 48.08%
Week 7 8271 6246 1043 56.97%
Week 8 9502 6013   61.24%
Week 9 9185 6315   59.26%
Week 10 6514 7657 1344 45.97%
         
YTD Totals 77750 70963 6817 52.28%

What a dramatic drop-off this week! Three sides had over 1,000 picks and two of them lost, as the Falcons were picked by 1,294 entrants and lost and the Eagles were taken by 1,401 entrants and lost. Seattle did win as the third most popular pick, but it was a tough week for a lot of players.

That was a silver lining for the BangTheBook and BangTheBook Gold entries, as the winners were mostly anti-consensus plays. The Chargers were a top-five team in the Gold, but scoring wins by fading the Falcons and Patriots was good.

The consensus was 6-7-1 this week and the top-five consensus came in at 2-3.

Here are the week-by-week results for the 2018 SuperContest Gold:

  Wins Losses Ties Win Percentage
Week 1 347 240 43 59.11%
Week 2 270 370   42.19%
Week 3 365 275   57.03%
Week 4 353 213 74 62.37%
Week 5 280 316 44 46.98%
Week 6 280 316 44 46.98%
Week 7 331 261 48 55.91%
Week 8 389 246   61.26%
Week 9 373 267   58.28%
Week 10 263 314 63 45.58%
         
YTD Totals 3251 2818 316 53.57%

The Gold field wore it a little bit this week as well. This was the first losing week since Week 6 and the second-lowest winning percentage of the season. The top-five consensus went 1-3-1 with a push on the Jaguars, which was the wrong side for most of the game, so it could have been a lot worse.

The Eagles and Falcons made up 103 of the 640 picks, which contributed in a big way to the 45.58 percent success rate. The consensus was also 6-7-1 in the Gold.

Personal Gourmet had a tough week with a 2-2-1 record, but it wasn’t a bad time to do that. @Pigskin_Junkies made up a half-point in the contest, but Personal Gourmet is still our leader at 38-11-1 and 38.5 points. @Pigskin_Junkies is 2.5 points clear of the five-way tie for third place with Team Cleveland 1, PartyWithTheNoodler1, Jaz, Flash 15, and Finally 2019.

The cut-off for the money is 32 points and the lowest percentage to be tied for money is 64 percent. The field averaged just 2.3 points per team last week and there were only 16 perfect 5-0 cards. There were 37 cards with a 4-0-1 record. There were 20 entrants that did not submit picks.

PartyWithTheNoodler2 is also third in the SuperContest Gold. With the Giants’ cover, JRich and Hammer 3 are tied atop the Gold field with identical 33-16-1 record and 33.5 points. The Noodler is partying with 32.5 points. There is a three-way tie for fourth with 32 points.

The average in the Gold was also 2.3 points per team and there were zero 5-0 cards. Three entrants went 4-0-1 to tie for the best score of the week. All 128 entrants entered picks.

Here are the results, pick counts, and consensus from Week 10 (Gold count in parentheses):

1 Steelers* 211 (9)

2 Panthers (+4) 245 (13)

 

3 Jets* 378 (23)

4 Bills (+6.5) 141 (11)

 

5 Falcons 1294 (consensus #2) (46) (Gold #2)

6 Browns* (+4) 260 (15)

 

7 Saints 743 (20)

8 Bengals (+5.5) 795 (39) (Gold #4)

 

9 Buccaneers* 739 (24)

10 Redskins (+3) 337 (13)

 

11 Patriots 935 (consensus #4) (25)

12 Titans* (+6.5) 446 (26)

 

13 Packers* 672 (35) (Gold #5)

14 Dolphins (+9.5) 218 (10)

 

15 Colts* 580 (19)

16 Jaguars (+3) 764 (44) (Gold #3) PUSH

 

17 Bears* 631 (25)

18 Lions (+6.5) 569 (22)

 

19 Chiefs* 292 (11)

20 Cardinals (+16.5) 299 (18)

 

21 Chargers 919 (consensus #5) (31)

22 Raiders (+9.5) 175 (8)

 

23 Rams* 262 (15)

24 Seahawks (+9.5) 1078 (consensus #3) (33)

 

25 Eagles* 1401 (consensus #1) (57) (Gold #1)

26 Cowboys (+6.5) 224 (11)

 

27 49ers* 354 (21)

28 Giants (+3) 553 (16)

 

Consensus record: 6-7-1

Top-five consensus record: 2-3

YTD consensus record: 70-71-7

YTD top-five record: 28-22

 

Consensus record Gold: 6-7-1

Top-five consensus record: 1-3-1

YTD consensus record: 77-57-7

YTD top-five consensus record: 27-19-5 (PHI & NYG Week 2 same # picks as Gold #5)

 

Week 10 Notes:

The BangTheBook.com traditional entry was 26-23-1 and the BangTheBook Podcast entry was 25-25 at this point last year; both entries went 1-4 in Week 10 of 2017

The field went 44.82 percent in the traditional and 43.05 percent in the Gold in Week 10 last year

The year-to-date percentages were 47.9 percent in the traditional and 48.29 percent in the Gold

The cut-off for the money last year was 30.5 points, but only the top 50 were paid; the leader had 34.5 points in the traditional and 33 points in the Gold; this year’s leader is four points ahead of that pace

Follow along with our SuperContest picks every week at BangTheBook.com in this Saturday article and with the BangTheBook Podcast entry every Friday during the Westgate SuperContest Selections segment.

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