Planning on watching today’s Lumberjacks and Texans game? Catch the action at Wisdom Gym in Stephenville, TX, as the Texans hosts this showdown at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Western Athletic conference contest is set at 140.5 points, with Tarleton State being favored by -1 at home against Stephen F. Austin.


The Pick: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +1

This game will be played at Wisdom Gym at 5:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
  • Not only will Stephen F. Austin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Can the Lumberjacks Grab a Win on the Road?

Stephen F. Austin is 13-8 this season, including a 6-4 mark in Western Athletic Conference play. They have gone 4-3 on the road, and their average scoring margin in road games is +3.1.

As the underdog, the Lumberjacks are 2-3 this season, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five road games. Overall, they are 6-4 in their last ten games away from home.

Stephen F. Austin has struggled against the spread this season, going just 6-13. Their ATS record as the underdog is 2-3, and they have gone 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

This season, Stephen F. Austin games have an over/under record of 12-7 and today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 137 points.

In their recent matchup, the Stephen F. Austin offense ended with 77 points against Utah Valley. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.6% and made 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Kyle Hayman, who is averaging 9.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Sadaidriene Hall also maintains a PPG average of 10.7 heading into game.

So far, the Lumberjacks’ defense is ranked 136th in the country at 70.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.2 threes per game vs. Tarleton State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.1%.

Will Tarleton State Come Through as Home Favorites?

After defeating Utah Tech 86-68, Tarleton State comes into this game with a 14-7 record, including a 6-2 mark at home. So far this season, the Texans have been favored in nine games, going 7-2 in those matchups.

Over their last 10 games at home, Tarleton State has gone 8-2, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games at home. For the season, the Texans have a scoring margin of +6.2 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, Tarleton State has gone 5-4 against the spread. In their last three home games, the Texans have an ATS mark of 2-1 and they are 4-4 at home this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Tarleton State is 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is slightly higher than the average over/under line in Tarleton State’s games this season (137.1). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 148 points.

Tarleton State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 86 points vs. Utah Tech. Overall, they hit 50.9% of their shots from the field and went 21/22 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring was Jakorie Smith with 28 points. Lue Williams also added 18 points for the Texans.

So far this season, the Tarleton State defense has been performing well, ranking 66th in the country at 67.0 points allowed per contest. The Tarleton State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed Utah Tech to connect on 7 threes.