Planning on watching today’s Lumberjacks and Thunderbirds game? Catch the action at America First Events Center in Cedar City, UT, as the Thunderbirds hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The Lumberjacks are favored in this Western Athletic conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 156 points.
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN LUMBERJACKS VS SOUTHERN UTAH THUNDERBIRDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +7
This game will be played at America First Events Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE SOUTHERN UTAH THUNDERBIRDS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-65 in favor of the Thunderbirds.
- Not only will Southern Utah pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 156 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Are the Lumberjacks Ready for a Road Win?
Stephen F. Austin comes into this game with a 10-6 record, including a 3-3 mark on the road. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Lumberjacks are 5-5.
On the season, Stephen F. Austin has been favored in 10 games, going 6-4 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.3 points per game.
Stephen F. Austin has an ATS record of 6-8 this season and they are 4-6 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-4 and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lumberjacks have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
Stephen F. Austin’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-6 and today’s over/under line of 156 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (146.5). Currently, their games have an average of 145.4 points per game. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 157 points.
The Stephen F. Austin offense is coming off a game in which they scored 70 points vs. Utah Tech. Overall their field goal percentage was 38.7% while connecting on 3 threes. In terms of offense, the Lumberjacks have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 161st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 276th in percentage and 258th in three-pointers made.
The Lumberjacks’ defense is presently ranked 123rd nationally, allowing an average of 69.4 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Southern Utah, the Stephen F. Austin defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Stephen F. Austin made 19 free-throws vs. the Lumberjacks.
Can the Thunderbirds Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?
Through 15 games this season, Southern Utah has a record of 5-10, including a 0-4 mark in Western Athletic Conference play. The Thunderbirds have lost two straight games, and they are 1-9 when they are the underdog. So far, they have gone 2-2 at home, compared to 1-8 on the road.
Coming into this game, Southern Utah has an average scoring margin of -8.0 points per game at home, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games at home. Their last game was an 80-62 loss to Utah Valley, and they are 3-2 in their last five home games.
As the underdog, Southern Utah has gone 7-3 against the spread this season and they are 9-4 overall. At home, the Thunderbirds have an ATS record of 2-2 and they are 3-5 in their last 10 games as the home team vs. the spread. In their last three games as the underdog, Southern Utah is 1-2 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Southern Utah games is 9-4 and today’s line of 156 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (145). So far, 13 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 161 points.
Against Utah Valley, the Southern Utah had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 76.7 points per game. They scored 62 points and posted a field goal percentage of 36.5% in the game. Zion Young led the scoring for the Thunderbirds, contributing 17 points. Additionally, Parsa Fallah chipped in with 14 points.
The Thunderbirds’ defense is presently ranked 300th nationally, allowing an average of 78.7 points per contest. Southern Utah’s three-point defense is currently 21st in the country at 4.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 47.3% of their shots vs. Southern Utah.