Steelers vs. Bengals Monday Night Football Prop Picks
- Updated: September 16, 2013
It’s Monday night, and that means that there is just one more game with which to handicap on the NFL card. The Cincinnati Bengals will play host to the Pittsburgh Steelers in this edition of Monday Night Football, and we have some great MNF props covered so you can find an alternative way to beat the NFL betting lines in this one.
Longest Touchdown of the Game Over 40.5 Yards – When you think of these games between the Steelers and the Bengals, you have to think back to a lot of low scoring games, just like the 13-10 clash that ultimately sent Cincinnati to the playoffs last season instead of Pittsburgh. However, we think that this is a bit of an overreaction. The Steelers looked atrocious on offense last week against the Titans, scoring just one time on offense for the whole game, and that took until late in the fourth quarter to happen. Cincinnati has the weapons on the outside, namely in WR AJ Green to be able to bust a long touchdown. The Steelers are going to have to put the ball in the air as well, as they aren’t going to be able to run it without C Maurkice Pouncey under basically any circumstance. There will be at least one TD that covers nearly half the field or more in this game more than half the time.
Total Touchdowns in the Game Over 4.5 – Again, this isn’t so much about the ‘total’ of the game as much as it is the perception of the game. Most figure that the Steelers are going to be held down to just one touchdown in this one, and we just don’t see that happening. Both of these teams are clearly going to get to two, and the issue is whether there will be more than two on either side. Cincinnati is going to be a tough team to keep down to just two touchdowns in four quarters, and the Steelers know it. QB Andy Dalton will get the job done and put a third TD on the board for the hosts in this game. This number should be a flat five, not 4.5 at +100.
Total Quarterback Sacks Over 5 – More overs on Monday Night Football, but this one has to do with the defense, not with the offense. Though we do think that things are going to be better for the Pittsburgh offense this week, we can’t ignore the fact that the team is going to have to put the ball in the a lot, and we can’t ignore the fact that the offensive line is still practically a sieve. LB James Harrison is going to want to make sure that his former team remembers that it essentially unceremoniously dumped him out the door in the Steel City. The Bengals averaged over two sacks a game last season, and there’s a real chance that they can get to this five all by themselves in this one. We like there to be at least six times quarterbacks are on the ground in this one.
Ben Roethlisberger Over 239.5 Passing Yards – There just is no substitute for a rushing game. The Steelers might try, and they might be able to mask it a bit with the passing game, but Big Ben isn’t winning this game by himself. That being said, Roethlisberger is certainly going to have to put the ball in the air 35-40 times in this one, and basically, this prop is asking whether he is going to average six yards per pass attempt or not. The Bengals have a great pass defense, but a lot of that defense was statistically bolstered last year by sacks, numbers which aren’t going to count against Roethlisberger this time around. He’ll get to at least 240 in this one, because if he doesn’t, the Steelers aren’t getting to 300 total yards for the game.
Ben Roethlisberger To Have More Touchdown Passes Than Andy Dalton – We’re getting +105 on this prop, and we think that it is a good bet. Big Ben is one of these guys who can throw the ball for 350 yards and three TDs in a losing effort, and it isn’t all that often that he is held without a touchdown at all. Roethlisberger is going to have to put the ball in the air if Pittsburgh is going to score touchdowns. At least Dalton has a different mode of scoring in RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis. OC Jay Gruden has been a lot more likely to just let the Law Firm barrel into the end zone, and that could really hurt Dalton in this one. Roethlisberger might not win the game, but he could very well win this prop by a 2-1 margin or something of the sorts.