St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Free Pick 06/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-14

The St. Louis Cardinals will head east to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast this NL matchup. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Odds

St. Louis (+105) is hosting this game as the underdog to New York (-115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -200 for betting the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +170 for the Mets -1.5 runs.

The Mets are 33-34 straight up (SU) and 33-34 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Cardinals have gone 33-33 SU this year and are 34-32 ATS. They’re down 7.2 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.3 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 35-26-6 so far in 2019. St. Louis has an over/under record of 29-32-5.

Daniel Ponce de Leon will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Ponce de Leon is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mets are turning to lefty Steven Matz (5-4, 3.88 ERA), who has 66 punchouts and 20 walks, in addition to a 1.37 WHIP. Matz made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record in 2018, posting a 0-2 record with a 7.36 ERA.

St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.19, along with a K/9 of 10.34.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .245/.326/.404 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

St. Louis’ hitters have been paced by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong, who’ve collectively swatted 22 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .271/.358/.438 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while DeJong (.269/.362/.475) is up to 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The New York offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .253/.314/.459 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is hitting .338/.411/.472 with three home runs, 20 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .248/.290/.417 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 26 runs and six steals.

The Cardinals have lost 4.4 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 24-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 20 that went under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

St. Louis has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 18 XBH over its last five.

The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.

St. Louis has recorded 16.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 19 over their last 10.

The Cardinals have an OPS of .730 this season, including an OPS of .740 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .750 overall and .793 against lefties.

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