In this NL Central matchup, the Brewers (89-69, 46-31 home) play host to the Cardinals (69-89, 36-44 away) at American Family Field. Taking the mound for the Brewers is Corbin Burnes, while the Cardinals will go with Dakota Hudson. Check out my pick for three of this Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals matchup.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +166

This game will be played at American Family Field at 4:10 ET on Thursday, September 28th.

WHY BET THE ST. LOUIS CARDINALS:

  • Over their last five games as the favorite, the Brewers are just 2-3 (straight-up).
  • As the favorite on the road, the Cardinals’ win streak currently stands at two games.
  • For the season, the Cardinals have gone 7-4 with Dakota Hudson on the mound as the starter.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE NL CENTRAL

The Cardinals will be playing their 158th game of the season today and are 5th in the NL Central on a record of 69-89. So far, St. Louis has won 42.3% of their games at home compared to 45.0% on the road. Against divisional opponents, the Cardinals are 19-29 and have played a total of 49 series, going 19-25-5.

Dakota Hudson will take the mound for St. Louis with a 6-2 record this season. The right-hander has made 17 appearances, posting a 4.95 ERA and 4.95 K/9 rate. His FIP is 5.14 and opponents have an OBP of .351 against him thus far in 2023.

Dakota Hudson’s last outing resulted in a quality start, yet the Cardinals fell to the Padres 4-2. Despite the loss, Hudson pitched six innings and gave up two earned runs on nine hits, leaving him with a no-decision.

So far this season, the Cardinals’ has gone deep 207 times, placing them 10th in the league. Over St. Louis’ previous five games, they are 22nd in runs scored, with their season average of 4.4 runs per game putting them 19th in the league. The Cardinals’ overall team batting average stands at .249 along with an OBP of .325.

The Cardinals’ offensive leader this season has been Paul Goldschmidt. He’s batting .267 and has driven in 79 runs, while also hitting 25 home runs. Goldschmidt has been a key contributor to the team’s success in 2023.

WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Milwaukee heads into today’s game ranked 1st in the NL Central on an overall record of 89-69. The Brewers have won six straight series at home and have an overall home record of 46-31. Against the runline, their overall record is 77-81, including going 33-44 vs. the runline at home. When looking at their over/under mark, the Brewers are 71-82.

Corbin Burnes takes the mound with an overall record of 10-8 and an ERA of 3.46. On the road, he has gone 6-5 with a 3.01 ERA in 18 appearances. At home, he has put together a 4-3 record and 4.98 ERA. His season-long WHIP is 1.06, while opponents have hit just .193 against him with a slugging percentage of .316.

In Corbin Burnes’ most recent outing, the Brewers’ right-hander was dominant, allowing no runs and two hits against the Marlins. His effort resulted in a 16-1 victory for Milwaukee, giving Burnes his fifth win of the season.

During their last five games, Milwaukee is the 18th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .237 and are averaging 5 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Brewers are hitting .239 with an OBP of .318 while averaging 4.5 runs per contest. This figure puts them 17th in the league.

Tyrone Taylor has been a power source for the Brewers over their last ten games, leading the team with two home runs and bringing his season total to nine. His overall batting average stands at .234.