Adrian Houser will get the start for the Brewers (88-68, 45-30 home) as they host the Cardinals (68-88, 35-43 away) at American Family Field. The Cardinals will give the starting nod to Zack Thompson. Check out my prediction for game one of this NL Central matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -161
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, September 26th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS:
- In their previous five games, the Brewers have a record of 3-2.
- The Brewers are 6-4 straight-up in their ten most recent games as the favorite.
- The Brewers are 2-0 in Adrian Houser’s last two starts.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS
So far this season, the Cardinals have a series record of 19-24-5 and overall record of 68-88. This mark has St. Louis placed 5th in the NL Central. On the road, they have a below .500 record of 35-43.
The Cardinals will call upon Zack Thompson to take the mound, who has a 5-7 record on the season. He’s made 24 appearances, boasting an ERA of 4.57 and a K/9 rate of 9.89. His FIP is 3.99 and he’s allowed an OBP of .328 thus far in 2023.
Zack Thompson suffered a loss in his most recent start against the Brewers, giving up four runs on five hits over five innings. The Cardinals were defeated 8-2 in the game.
The Cardinals have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 2 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 10th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 9th in home runs and 12th in slugging percentage. Overall, St. Louis is averaging 4.4 runs per game (18th).
The Cardinals have been dealt a blow to their offense, as Nolan Gorman, the team leader in home runs, is listed as out on the injury report. Gorman has been a major contributor this season, with 27 long balls and 76 RBIs.
WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Brewers have an overall record of 88-68, placing them 1st in the NL Central. Against other NL Central opponents, they are 29-17 along with going 45-30 and 43-38 at home and on the road, respectively. So far, they have played a total of 48 series, going 27-19-2.
The Brewers will turn to starter Adrian Houser, who has an impressive 7-4 record this season. In 21 appearances, he has a 4.35 ERA and 7.64 K/9 rate. His FIP stands at 4.02, and opposing batters have a .327 OBP against him.
Adrian Houser earned the victory in his latest start, surrendering one earned run and four hits over six innings against the Cardinals. Milwaukee emerged victorious with a final score of 8-2.
For the season, the Brewers are 19th in batting average, hitting a combined .240. Over their last ten games, they have hit .265 which is 5th in that span. Milwaukee’s average of 4.5 runs per game puts them 17th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 162 times and have a team slugging percentage of .386.
Christian Yelich has been a major contributor to the Brewers’ offense this season, hitting 19 home runs and boasting a .276 batting average. In their last five games, Yelich leads the team with two dingers.