Last Updated: 2019-04-15
Paul DeJong and the surging St. Louis Cardinals will head north to Miller Park to play their division rival Milwaukee Brewers. Fox Sports Midwest will be showing the matchup. The opening pitch will be at 7:40 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas has listed St. Louis (+115) as the dog to Milwaukee (-125). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will give you even money (+100). This game currently has a runline of Cardinals +1.5 (-180) and Brewers -1.5 (+160).
The Cardinals are 9-6 SU and are 9-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season and 4.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 10-6 SU and 6-9 ATS. They’ve gained 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 6-8-1 so far in 2019. St. Louis has an over/under record of 8-5-1.
Dakota Hudson will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Hudson is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 6.23 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are going with righty Freddy Peralta (1-0, 6.91 ERA), who’s got 19 punchouts and four walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Peralta is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 12.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 6.02, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 10 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.91 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.89.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .247/.326/.418 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .328/.425/.639 with five home runs, 15 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Cain’s line is .297/.361/.422 with 19 hits, three RBIs and 10 runs scored.
For the visitors, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.46 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.45 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a K-per-9 of 8.79.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .240/.324/.451 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Paul DeJong and second baseman Kolten Wong have led St. Louis’ hitters. DeJong is slashing .306/.368/.597 with 19 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Wong (.298/.424/.638) has produced 14 hits, four homers, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored.
The Cardinals have gained 1.1 units and are 7-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 2.3 units and are 3-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to seven which went under the total.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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The under has cashed in four of St. Louis’ last seven games.
The Cardinals have a team OPS of .775 this season and an OPS of .807 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .789 overall and .728 against righties.
The Cardinals have won six of their last seven games SU.
St. Louis has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.