St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick 06/11/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-11

Brian Anderson and the ice-cold Miami Marlins are trying to avoid their sixth straight loss as they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Marlins Park. Fox Sports Midwest will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Odds

The Marlins are 23-41 straight up (SU) and 30-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cardinals are 32-32 SU and have gone 32-31 against the spread. They’re down 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 0.3 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 29-32-2 so far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 28-31-4.

The right-handed Dakota Hudson is getting the nod for the visiting Cardinals. Hudson is 4-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Marlins are sending righty Elieser Hernandez (0-0, 9.00 ERA) to the mound. Hernandez has zero strikeouts and one walks as well as a WHIP of 2.50. Hernandez did not register a start against the Cardinals in 2018.

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .203/.259/.291 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ batters this year. Anderson is slashing .242/.326/.379 with seven home runs, 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Castro is batting .229 with four homers, 27 RBIs and 19 runs.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.35 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.13, along with a K/9 of 10.33.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .245/.326/.405 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

St. Louis’ offense has been powered by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong, who have combined to blast 22 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .272/.359/.440 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while DeJong is hitting .270/.367/.481 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 3.1 units and are 27-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 4.8 units and are 19-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 25 which went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in only two of St. Louis’ last seven games.

The Cardinals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.

The Cardinals have an OPS of .731 this season and an OPS of .744 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .644 overall and .645 against righties.

St. Louis has posted 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.0 over its last five.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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