St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick 05/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-15

Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals will be taking the field versus the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will broadcast this NL matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves Odds

St. Louis (+135) is the underdog against Atlanta (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for playing the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. This game currently has a runline of Cardinals +1.5 (-160) and Braves -1.5 (+140).

The Cardinals are 23-19 SU and are 23-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.3 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year, despite having gained 6.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 21-21 SU and 19-22 ATS. They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.0 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Atlanta games have a 21-17-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 21-17-3.

Michael Wacha is getting the nod for St. Louis. The right-handed Wacha is 3-0 with a 5.35 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves are going with righty Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21 ERA), who has 31 punchouts and 11 walks to his name as well as a 1.04 WHIP. Soroka did not re a start against the Cardinals in 2018.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.64 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .240/.298/.383 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have paced the Braves’ batters so far. Freeman is hitting .304/.399/.519 with seven home runs, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Albies has put up a line of .263/.309/.441 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 29 runs.

For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.84 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.07, along with a K/9 of 10.65.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .263/.346/.429 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led St. Louis’ hitters. DeJong is hitting .321/.413/.560 with seven home runs, 19 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Goldschmidt (.269/.351/.473) is up to 10 homers, 23 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Cardinals have gained 2.3 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 2.1 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve cashed the under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The over has cashed in three of St. Louis’ last seven games.

The Cardinals have a total OPS of .775 this season and an OPS of .791 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .768 overall and .749 against righties.

St. Louis fielders have committed zero errors over the last five games, compared to three errors for Atlanta over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit nine over their last 10.

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