St. Louis Cardinals at Texas Rangers Free Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

Paul DeJong and the slumping St. Louis Cardinals will pay a visit to Arlington to face the Rangers at Globe Life Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will televise this interleague matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Texas Rangers Odds

The Rangers are 19-22 straight up (SU) and 22-18 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 1.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.1 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cardinals have gone 23-21 SU this year and are 24-19 ATS. They’ve lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the year, but have gained 5.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Rangers games have had an over/under record of 24-15-1 thus far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 22-18-3.

Right-hander Miles Mikolas will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. Mikolas is 4-3 with a 3.83 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rangers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Rangers are turning to righty Jose Leclerc (1-1, 6.32 ERA), who has 22 strikeouts and 13 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.79. Leclerc did not register a start against the Cardinals in 2018.

Texas’ pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.69 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.3 K/9.

The Texas hitters have produced 5.9 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .316/.380/.591 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo have led the Rangers’ batters so far. Andrus is hitting .325/.373/.510 with six home runs, 26 RBIs, 25 runs and eight steals, and Choo’s line is .288/.392/.493 with five homers, 15 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.42 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.77 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.30, along with a K-per-9 of 10.63.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .258/.343/.423 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led St. Louis’ hitters. DeJong is slashing .313/.406/.542 with seven home runs, 19 RBIs and 36 runs scored. Goldschmidt is slashing .269/.359/.468 with 10 homers, 23 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Cardinals have gained 2.3 units and are 21-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 3.6 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Texas’ last seven games.

The Cardinals have a total OPS of .765 this season and an OPS of .780 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS sits at .802 overall and .823 versus righties.

The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games SU.

St. Louis has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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