St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Betting Pick 06/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-13

Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets will play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will be showing this NL matchup. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Odds

New York (getting -140 odds) is favored over St. Louis and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). There’s a runline of Cardinals +1.5 (-170) and Mets -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.

The Mets are 33-34 straight up (SU) and 33-34 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Cardinals have gone 33-33 SU this year and are 34-31 ATS. They’re down 5.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 2.5 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Mets games have a 35-26-6 over/under record so far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 28-32-5.

Jack Flaherty will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Flaherty is 4-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Jacob deGrom (3-6, 3.45 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), who has 94 strikeouts and 20 walks this season. deGrom only made one start against the Cardinals in 2018 (1-0, 1.59 ERA and seven strikeouts across 5.2 innings).

New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

New York’s hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .253/.314/.459 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is slashing .338/.411/.472 with three home runs, 20 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Rosario is batting .248 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases.

For the visitors, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.19, along with a K/9 of 10.34.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .245/.326/.404 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong continue to lead St. Louis’ hitters. Goldschmidt is slashing .271/.358/.438 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while DeJong is hitting .269/.362/.475 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 1.1 units and are 29-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 24-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.

The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 19 over their last 10.

The Cardinals have a total OPS of .730 this season and an OPS of .737 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .750 overall and .733 versus righties.

St. Louis has posted 16.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.

The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.

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