St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves Free Pick 05/16/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-16

Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals are set to do battle against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will be televising this NL showdown.

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves Odds

Each has equal -105 moneyline odds and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Cardinals -1.5 (+140) and Braves +1.5 (-160).

The Braves are 22-21 straight up (SU) and 19-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals are 23-20 SU and have gone 24-18 against the spread. They’re up 0.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 7.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Braves games have a 22-17-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 22-17-3.

Adam Wainwright is getting the nod for St. Louis. The right-handed Wainwright is 3-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Julio Teheran (2-4, 4.26 ERA), who has 52 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Teheran only made one start against the Cardinals in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.49 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Atlanta offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .250/.309/.409 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Freeman is hitting .304/.401/.516 with seven home runs, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while the line for Albies stands at .257/.303/.432 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 29 runs.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.30 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.11, along with a K-per-9 of 10.80.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .260/.344/.423 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

St. Louis’ offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who have combined to blast 17 home runs. DeJong is slashing .319/.410/.552 with seven home runs, 19 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Goldschmidt (.266/.354/.467) has produced 10 homers, 23 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Cardinals have gained 3.3 units and are 21-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 3.1 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

St. Louis has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Cardinals have an OPS of .767 this season and an OPS of .782 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .767 overall and .749 against righties.

The Braves have won four of their last five games SU.

St. Louis has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 10 over their last 10.

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