St. Louis Blues vs. Boston Bruins Betting Pick 5/27/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-27

The St. Louis Blues and the Boston Bruins are set to battle at TD Garden in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals. NBC will broadcast this East-West matchup, which gets going at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, May 27.

St. Louis Blues vs. Boston Bruins Odds

Boston enters the matchup as the noticeable favorite with a moneyline of -145. The line for St. Louis now stands at +125. If you want to put some action on the matchup’s Over/Under (O/U) total, you’ll be looking at -135 for over 6 goals and +115 for under under..

Boston is 61-38 straight up (SU) and has netted 7.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. That winning percentage, ranked second in the NHL in this young season, is right in line with the 50-32 record the team posted during last year’s regular season campaign. Through 99 regular season matches, 54 of the team’s games have gone under the total, while 41 have gone over and just four have pushed. The team’s 35-15 SU at home this year.

Following a regular season where they converted 27.2 percent of all power-play chances (the third-strongest), the Bruins have been able to score on 34.0 percent of their postseason power play opportunities.

The Bruins’ offensive attack attempted 32.8 shots per game in the regular season, resulting in 3.2 goals per contest (ranked 11th overall in the NHL). In the playoffs, the club is maintaining an average of 33.6 shots on goal ( 3.4 goals per game).

Averaging 26.2 saves per game with a .921 save percentage, Tuukka Rask (39-24-6) has been the principal goalkeeper for Boston this year. If Boston decides to rest him, however, the team might go with Jaroslav Halak (22-18-18 record, .922 save percentage, 2.34 goals against average).

Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak will both lead the offensive attack for the Bruins. Marchand (118 points) has tallied 43 goals and 75 assists and has recorded two or more points in 36 different games this year. Pastrnak has 45 goals and 51 assists to his name and has recorded a point in 52 games.

On the visitors’ side of the ice, St. Louis is 57-44 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 4.8 units this year. Through 101 regular season contests, 51 of its games have gone under the total, while 43 have gone over and just seven have pushed. The Blues are 28-22 SU as a road team this season.

The Blues have scored on 20.7 percent of their power play chances this season, a mark that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked ninth overall and it’s successfully killed off 81.0 percent of all opponent power plays.

St. Louis’ players have been called for penalties 3.3 times per game this season, and 2.2 per game over their past five outings. The team’s been forced to kill penalties just 6.0 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Jordan Binnington (2.07 goals against average and .922 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for St. Louis. Binnington is averaging 24.3 saves per game and has 36 wins, 15 losses, and three overtime losses to his credit.

For the visiting Blues, the offense will be facilitated by Ryan O’Reilly, who’s got 60 assists and 31 goals on the year.

St. Louis Blues vs. Boston Bruins Betting Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Bruins, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

Five of Boston’s last ten contests have been decided by two or more goals, and the team is 5-0 overall in those games.

Penalties and power plays could play a critical role in tonight’s matchup. The Blues are 30-23 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 43-30 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Bruins are 29-17 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 43-25 when their penalty minutes are in the single digits.

Boston is 2-3 in games decided by a shootout this season while St. Louis is 3-3 in shootouts.

Three of Boston’s last five games have gone under the total.

One of the top teams at puck possession, St. Louis is ranked third this season with just 7.9 giveaways per game. That figure has trended higher lately, as the team’s averaged 11.7 giveaways over its last 10 games and 10.2 giveaways over its last five.

Boston is ranked 13th this season with 9.8 giveaways per game. That figure has improved, however, as it’s averaged 7.7 giveaways over its last 10 games and 8.8 giveaways over its last five.

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