The Bonnies and Minutemen are set to face off at 2:30 ET on USA. The Minutemen will host the game at William D. Mullins Memorial Center in Amherst, MA. The over/under for this Atlantic 10 conference contest is set at 145.5 points, with Massachusetts being favored by -5 at home against St. Bonaventure.


The Pick: Massachusetts Minutemen -5

This game will be played at William D. Mullins Memorial Center at 2:30 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Minutemen.
  • Not only will Massachusetts pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can St. Bonaventure Grab a Win on the Road?

St. Bonaventure enters this game with a record of 16-10, including a 6-7 mark in Atlantic 10 play. The Bonnies are coming off a 72-59 loss to La Salle and have gone 1-4 in their last five games on the road.

On the season, St. Bonaventure is 4-5 on the road, and they have an average scoring margin of +4.0 points per game. As the underdog, the Bonnies are 2-5, and they have been the underdog in seven of their 26 games.

As the underdog, St. Bonaventure has gone 3-4 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Bonnies are 5-4 ATS and 2-1 in their last 3 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in St. Bonaventure’s games this season (139.1). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Most recently, the St. Bonaventure offense finished with just 59 points vs. La Salle. For the game, they hit 6/17 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 43.8%. Chad Venning is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Mika Adams-Woods brings a PPG average of 13.3 into the game.

The Bonnies’ defense is presently ranked 67th nationally, allowing an average of 67.6 points per contest. Against La Salle in their most recent game, the St. Bonaventure defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing La Salle to hit 51% of their shots.

Will the Minutemen Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Massachusetts enters tonight’s game as the favorite, as they have been in 21 of their 26 games this season. They have gone 15-6 in those games, compared to a 2-3 record as the underdog.

At home, the Minutemen have been even better, going 13-3 this season. They have won their last three games at home and have gone 8-2 in their last 10.

As the favorite this season, UMass has an ATS record of 12-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Minutemen have gone 5-5 vs. the spread. At home, UMass is 10-6 ATS this year and over their last 10 home games, they are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Massachusetts’ games this season (149.8). Over their last three games, the Minutemen have an over/under record of 1-2 with an average scoring total of 138 points.

Against VCU, the Massachusetts had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 79.7 points per game. They scored 74 points and posted a field goal percentage of 47.5% in the game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Josh Cohen who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.3. Matt Cross also heads into the game with a PPG average of 15.5.

Massachusetts’ defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.4 points per game. Against VCU, the Minutemen’s defense gave up 52 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, VCU only made 10 free-throws.