|767: ST BONAVENTURE
Last Updated: 2018-01-03
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies (11-2, 1-0 A10) and the Dayton Flyers (6-7, 0-1 A10) clash at University of Dayton Arena. The Bonnies are a 2.5-point favorite and look to prolong their eight-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 138.5 points and it will air on CBS Sports Network at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Dayton Flyers Betting Odds
In their last matchup, the Flyers were beaten by the Duquesne Dukes, 70-62, while the Bonnies dismantled the Massachusetts Minutemen, 98-78.
St. Bonaventure played a perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.313 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 14.9). For those same stats, Massachusetts put up marks of 0.152 and 13.0, respectively. Dayton, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 10.2 (better than their season average of 18.5). Dayton’s Josh Cunningham played well, contributing 14 points and 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, St. Bonaventure was lifted by Jaylen Adams, who finished with 32 points and seven assists.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Dayton currently ranks 291st in possessions per game (67.8) and St. Bonaventure is 262nd (68.6).
Vegas is known to place the total high when the Bonnies are involved, as six of their 10 games have ended under the total. St. Bonaventure comes into the game with records of 11-2 straight up (SU) and 6-4 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with St. Bonaventure, a little over half of Flyers games have finished under the total. Additionally, Dayton is 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS.
Adams has been playing at a high level recently for St. Bonaventure, averaging 20.0 points, 5.8 assists and 1.8 steals over the last five games.
The Flyers dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, Dayton won 76-72. One of Dayton’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 39 trips to the line, while St. Bonaventure went 27 times. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Dayton Flyers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – St. Bonaventure, ATS Winner – St. Bonaventure, O/U – Under
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Dayton ranks 64th in three pointers attempted per game (24.9) while St. Bonaventure ranks 256th (17.0).
The Bonnies average 13.5 assists per game, which ranks 148th in the nation. The Flyers rank 149th in assists allowed per game (13.9).
The Bonnies rank 33rd in steals per game (8.0) while the Flyers rank 123rd (6.1).
St. Bonaventure ranks 166th in rebounds per game (35.2) while Dayton ranks 244th (32.4).
St. Bonaventure is 4-2 ATS on the road, while Dayton is 3-4 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 4 of the Flyers’ 7 home games, while 5 of the Bonnies’ 6 road games have gone under.
The Bonnies are 3-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Flyers are 1-4.
In their last five games, St. Bonaventure has 2 overs and 2 unders, while Dayton has 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Bonnies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.4, down from 11.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 70.6 points per game (0.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.4 points per game (2.9 above their season average).