Sports Betting Tips – Covering the Spread for February 2-4, 2018

Last Updated: 2018-02-02

Super Bowl 52 is nearly here, and bettors have either already made their wagers, or they are waiting to see if there will be any changes the last few days leading up to kickoff. The big question is, will money on the New England Patriots finally start to show up, or will the Philadelphia Eagles continue to garner support and push the line down to 3.5 points from -4 in favor of their opponent?

The answer will be significant because of what it will mean to sportsbooks around the world. Keep in mind, the Patriots opened as 5.5-point favorites at most books for Super Bowl 52 and even -6 at some. If the line falls to New England -3.5, then the books stand to take a beating if Philadelphia comes through and covers. And if the Eagles win the game outright, it would be much worse, so books will likely be rooting for the Patriots as rare as it to pull for the defending NFL champions, who have gone a remarkable 28-9 against the spread (76 percent) over the past two seasons.

But does Philly really have a chance? Yes, if New England quarterback Tom Brady does not turn in another MVP performance. That is certainly possible, as the Jacksonville Jaguars had the Patriots on the ropes on their home field in the AFC Championship Game with Blake Bortles under center. Nick Foles is capable of playing as well as Bortles if not better, and the rest of the underdog Eagles have a more talented offense than the Jaguars to go along with an underrated defense that can play just as good.

If there were not so many reported “million-dollar bets” on Philadelphia in Las Vegas over the past two weeks, then maybe that would be the “right side” worth wagering on. The reality is, stories like that usually do not have a happy ending, and the books tend to win more often than not in those situations.

That said, instead of giving you my free pick on the big game and telling you who I personally think will win and cover the spread, I invite you to read the following articles on BangTheBook.com — enjoy!

 

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