Facing off at 12:00 on Saturday, November 18th is the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Mississippi State Bulldogs. This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville MS. Carrying the game is SEC. In a non-conference matchup, the Bulldogs are 14 point favorites at home. Keep reading to get my take on who wins and covers on Saturday.


The Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +14

This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 31-17 in favor of Mississippi State.
  • Even though we have Mississippi State winning straight-up, we like Southern Miss at +14.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 46.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 48 points.

Do the Golden Eagles Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles take on the Mississippi State with a 3-7 record, including 0-4 on the road and 1-3 at home.

Southern Miss has gone into three games as the favorite this season and five games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 2-6.

This season, Southern Miss holds an over/under record of 5-3. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 59.4 points, with the typical over/under line set at 53.2 points.

The Golden Eagles are currently ranked 20th in college football with 400 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 170.8 rushing yards per game, which is 53rd in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 31.9 attempts per game and gain an average of 201.5 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 73rd spot with 24.1 points per game.

The Golden Eagles defense faces off against Mississippi State with 25 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 35.3 points per game which is 139th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 129th in the NCAA, allowing 244.1 passing yards per game. Southern Miss’ run defense is yielding 181.4 rushing yards per contest.

Can the Bulldogs Secure a Win at Home?

So far, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are 4-6, including going 1-3 on the road and 1-3 at home.

So far, Mississippi State has been favored one time and the underdog in seven games. This has led to an ATS record of 1-7 and an average scoring differential of -6.8.

Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in Mississippi State’s matchups has been 48.1 points. These games have had an average combined score of 49.6 points, leading to an OU record of 5-3.

Mississippi State’s rushing attack is ranked 67th in college football with 327 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 142.8 rushing yards per game, placing them 85th nationally. On average, they are attempting 28.2 passes per game leading to 183.1 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 86th position, averaging 21.4 points per game.

This season, the Bulldogs’ defense has allowed 144.8 rushing yards per contest, placing them 139th. Opponents are averaging 221.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 106.3 when facing Mississippi State. They currently hold the 37th spot in NCAA points allowed.