Planning on watching today’s Golden Eagles and Red Wolves game? Catch the action at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR, as the Red Wolves hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 151 points, and Arkansas State is favored by -4.5 to win at home against Southern Miss.

SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +4.5

This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 8:30 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.

WHY BET THE SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-72 in favor of the Red Wolves.
  • Even though we have Arkansas State winning straight-up, we like Southern Miss at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Golden Eagles Defense Show Up in Jonesboro?

Through 21 games this season, Southern Miss has a record of 12-9. In Sun Belt Conference play, the Golden Eagles are 6-3 compared to their non-conference mark of 6-6. On the road, they have gone 5-5, and their average scoring margin is -5.9 points per game.

In their last game, Southern Miss lost to Marshall by a score of 83-67. Over their last 10 games on the road, they have a record of 5-5. So far this season, they have been the underdog in 11 games, going 5-6.

Against the spread, Southern Miss has gone 8-11 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 4-6, and they have gone 5-6 vs. the spread as the underdog this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Golden Eagles have an ATS mark of 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Southern Miss games is 9-10 and today’s line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their OU record during that stretch is 1-2. On the year, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

In their recent matchup, the Southern Miss offense ended with 67 points against Marshall. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.1% and made 10 threes. On the offensive front, the Golden Eagles have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, ranking 331st nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 202nd in terms of percentage and 253rd in three-pointers made.

On defense, Southern Miss is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.8 points per game. So far, the Southern Miss defense is giving up an average of 9.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.8 times per game (572nd).

Pressure Builds for Arkansas State as Home Favorites

Arkansas State is 5-2 at home this season, and they have gone 7-4 when favored. Over their last 10 games at home, the Red Wolves are 7-3. They are coming off an 81-75 loss to Louisiana-Lafayette.

For the year, Arkansas State is 8-13, including a 5-4 mark in Sun Belt play. They have gone 4-10 on the road, compared to 5-2 at home.

Arkansas State has an ATS record of 11-9-1 this season. At home, they are 4-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Wolves are 4-6 ATS.

Arkansas State’s over/under record for the season sits at 10-11 and today’s line of 151 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (153.6). So far, 13 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and over their last five games, the average is 153 points. Their over/under record over their last three games is 2-1 and over their last 10 games, it is 7-3.

The Red Wolves’ offense finished with 75 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 78.3 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Dyondre Dominguez, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 13.1, while Taryn Todd also maintains a PPG average of 12 leading up to the game.

So far, the Red Wolves’ defense is ranked 292nd in the country at 78.9 points per contest. In today’s game, the Arkansas State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 81 points.