Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Screaming Eagles versus the Leathernecks? Tip off is at at 4:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Western Hall in Macomb, IL. This Ohio Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 135 points, and Western Illinois is favored to win by -6.5 at home vs. Southern Indiana.

SOUTHERN INDIANA SCREAMING EAGLES VS WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Western Illinois Leathernecks -6.5

This game will be played at Western Hall at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 89-60 in favor of the Leathernecks.
  • Not only will Western Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135 points, and we like the over with a projected 149 points.

Do the Screaming Eagles Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Despite being 8-20 on the season, Southern Indiana has been better on the road than at home, going 3-12 compared to 2-8. Their average scoring margin on the road is -10.4 compared to -4.9 at home.

As an underdog, the Screaming Eagles are 5-17 this season, and they have been the underdog in 22 of their 28 games. Their record on the road in their last 10 games is 3-7.

As the underdog, Southern Indiana has gone 12-10 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Screaming Eagles have an 8-7 ATS mark this year and are 4-6 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Southern Indiana has a .500 ATS record of 5-5.

So far this season, the over/under record in Southern Indiana games is 12-13. Today’s line of 135 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (141.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 146 points.

The Southern Indiana offense is coming off a game where they scored 80 points against Morehead State. They posted a field goal percentage of 49.1% and connected on 9 threes. The team’s top scorer is Jeremiah Hernandez, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17, while AJ Smith also maintains a PPG average of 13.7 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Screaming Eagles’ defense holds the 191st rank in the nation, allowing 72.8 points per game. Against Morehead State in their most recent game, the Southern Indiana defense gave up a total of 73 points while allowing Morehead State to hit 45% of their shots.

Will Western Illinois Find a Way to Win at Home?

After losing their last game to Morehead State by a score of 78-57, Western Illinois will look to get back on track at home against Southern Indiana. So far this season, the Leathernecks have gone just 3-5 at home, and they have lost their last four games at home.

On the year, Western Illinois has gone 17-11, including a 10-6 record on the road. As the favorite, the Leathernecks have gone 8-3, and they are favored by 6.5 points in this one. So far, they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home.

As the favorite this season, Western Illinois has gone 7-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Leathernecks have an ATS mark of 6-4. At home this year, Western Illinois has gone just 2-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 home games, the Leathernecks have an ATS record of 1-6.

Western Illinois’ over/under record for the season sits at 6-17-1 and the average over/under line in their games is 137.4. So far, 11 of their games have had a lower over/under line than today’s line of 135. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 126 points and their OU record during that stretch is 1-2.

Coming off their recent game, the Western Illinois offense tallied 57 points in a matchup against Morehead State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 30.6%, and they made 8 threes. Ryan Myers led the team in scoring, putting up 15 points. Additionally, Jesiah West contributed 12 points for the Leathernecks.

At this time, the Leathernecks’ defense is positioned 23rd in the country, permitting 65.0 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.8 threes per game vs. Southern Indiana. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 26.1%.