The Screaming Eagles and Tigers are set to face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Tigers will host the game at Gentry Center in Nashville, TN. This Ohio Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 141.5 points, and Tennessee State is favored to win by -5.5 at home vs. Southern Indiana.
SOUTHERN INDIANA SCREAMING EAGLES VS TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tennessee State Tigers -5.5
This game will be played at Gentry Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 90-59 in favor of the Tigers.
- Not only will Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 149 points.
Can Southern Indiana Lock in a Road Win?
Through 22 games this season, Southern Indiana has struggled mightily, going just 6-16 overall and 3-6 in Ohio Valley Conference action. On the road, the Screaming Eagles have gone 2-9, which is part of their average scoring margin of -11.9 points per game away from home.
As the underdog, Southern Indiana has gone 3-14, and they’ll be the underdog once again in this one, as they’re getting 5.5 points. In their last game, they defeated Tennessee Tech by a score of 74-71.
As the underdog, Southern Indiana’s ATS record this season is 10-7. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-4 and over their last 10 road games, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Southern Indiana games is 8-11. On average, their games have finished with 139.6 points, which is slightly lower than today’s over/under line of 141.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points, and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.
Southern Indiana finished with 74 points in their game against Tennessee Tech. This total surpasses their season-average of 67.6 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Jeremiah Hernandez, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.8, while AJ Smith also maintains a PPG average of 12.7 leading up to the game.
The Screaming Eagles’ defense is presently ranked 164th nationally, allowing an average of 71.9 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Southern Indiana defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Tennessee Tech knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 71 points.
Does Tennessee State Have a Shot at a Home Win?
Tennessee State comes into this game with a 12-10 record, including a 5-4 mark in Ohio Valley Conference play. They have gone 4-7 on the road this season compared to 4-3 at home.
As the favorite, the Tigers are 5-4 this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last ten games at home. Their average scoring margin at home this year is +3.3 points per game.
When looking at Tennessee State’s ATS record this season, they are currently 7-11. At home, their ATS mark is 3-4. Over their last three games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 3-0 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, they have a mark of 4-6.
Today’s over/under line of 141.5 for Tennessee State’s game against Southern Indiana is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (146.5). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 118 points.
Tennessee State offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 49 points against Morehead State. In that game, they made 2/13 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 40%. On the offensive front, the Tigers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 230th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 246th in terms of percentage and 226th in three-pointers made.
At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 134th, allowing 70.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Morehead State, the Eagles finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 68 points vs. Tennessee State.