Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Lions versus the Demons? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Prather Coliseum in Natchitoches, LA. Southeastern Louisiana is favored by -1 in this Southland conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 135.5 points.

SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA LIONS VS NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northwestern State Demons +1

This game will be played at Prather Coliseum at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Demons.
  • Not only will Northwestern State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can The Lions Secure a Road Victory?

After a 76-64 win over Incarnate Word, the Southeastern Louisiana Lions come into this game with a 10-13 record, including a 5-5 mark in Southland Conference play. So far this season, the Lions have gone 3-10 on the road, and they are 4-4 when favored.

Over the team’s last three road games, they have gone 1-2, and over their last 10, they are 3-7. On the year, Southeastern Louisiana’s average scoring margin on the road is -9.8 points per game.

Against the spread, Southeastern Louisiana has an even 10-10 record this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-6, while they are 3-4 vs. the spread at home. As the favorite, the Lions are 3-5 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, their ATS record is 4-6.

So far this season, the over/under record for Southeastern Louisiana games is 8-12 and today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (141.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points and their OU record in those games is 2-1.

In their latest game, Southeastern Louisiana offense put up 76 points against Incarnate Word. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 52.2% and made 11 threes. Leading Southeastern Louisiana in scoring vs. Incarnate Word was Nick Caldwell with his 18 points. Roger McFarlane also added 18 points for the Lions.

Southeastern Louisiana’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.4 points per game. Southeastern Louisiana’s three-point defense is currently 172nd in the country at 7.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.8% of their shots vs. Southeastern Louisiana.

Will the Demons Win at Home?

Northwestern State is 3-5 at home this season with an average scoring margin of -5.0 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 5-5. On the year, they have been the underdog in 19 of their 23 games, going 2-17 in those contests. They are coming off a 73-66 loss to Nicholls.

So far this year, Northwestern State is 6-17 overall and 4-6 in Southland Conference action. They have gone just 1-12 on the road, where their average scoring margin is -15.9 points per game. The Demons have lost three straight games away from home.

Northwestern State has an ATS record of 10-11 this season and they are 4-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Demons have gone 3-7 vs. the spread. In their last 3 games as the underdog, Northwestern State is 0-3 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 135.5 for the Northwestern State game is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (146.9). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 140 points.

The Northwestern State offense is coming off a game where they scored 66 points against Nicholls. They posted a field goal percentage of 48.9% and connected on 10 threes. The team’s top scorer is Cliff Davis, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.2, while Braelon Bush also maintains a PPG average of 10 leading up to the game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Northwestern State is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.0 points per game (293rd). So far, the Northwestern State defense is giving up an average of 9.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.9 times per game (660th).