The Bulls and Mean Green are set to face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mean Green will host the game at UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 130 points, and North Texas is favored by -6.5 to win at home against South Florida.


The Pick: South Florida Bulls +6.5

This game will be played at UNT Coliseum at 6:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Mean Green.
  • Even though we have North Texas winning straight-up, we like South Florida at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Do the Bulls Stand a Chance on the Road?

South Florida has been a much stronger team at home this season, as they are 11-2 compared to 3-3 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.8, compared to -2.5 on the road. They have won their last six games and are 7-1 in American Athletic Conference play.

So far this season, South Florida has been the underdog in six games, going 3-3 in those matchups. They are 14-5 overall and are coming off a 71-60 win over East Carolina. In their last 10 road games, the Bulls are 5-5.

South Florida has been solid against the spread this season, going 12-5-2. Their road ATS record is 3-2-1, and they have gone 5-4-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Bulls have gone 3-2-1 vs. the spread this season and 4-5-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

South Florida’s over/under record for the season is 6-13 and today’s line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (148.3). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 145 points compared to their season average of 146.2.

In their recent matchup, the South Florida offense ended with 71 points against East Carolina. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 50.9% and made 10 threes. Chris Youngblood led the scoring for the Bulls, contributing 20 points. Additionally, Selton Miguel chipped in with 14 points.

So far, the Bulls’ defense is ranked 120th in the country at 69.8 points per contest. The South Florida defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed East Carolina to connect on 5 threes.

Will the Mean Green Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

North Texas has been dominant at home this season, going 7-3, and they have won four straight games at home. On the year, they are 9-1 when favored, and they are favored by 6.5 points tonight.

Over their last ten games at home, the Mean Green are 7-3, and they are coming off a 66-63 loss to Florida Atlantic. So far this year, they are 12-8, including a 5-2 record in American Athletic Conference play.

North Texas has been solid against the spread this season, going 11-6 overall. At home, the Mean Green are 7-3 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, North Texas has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

North Texas has an over/under record of 7-9-1 this season and today’s line of 130 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (128). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 130. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their over/under record in those games is 2-1.

The Mean Green’s offense wrapped up their last game with 63 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 67.8 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Jason Edwards with 16 points. Robert Allen also added 15 points for the Mean Green.

So far this season, the North Texas defense has been performing well, ranking 5th in the country at 60.2 points allowed per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Texas’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.6% this season.