Looking to win big? The Bulls and Tigers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN. The Tigers are hosting the game at FedExForum in Memphis, TN. The odds for this American Athletic conference game currently have the Tigers as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 157.5 points.

SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS VS MEMPHIS TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: South Florida Bulls +12.5

This game will be played at FedExForum at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.

WHY BET THE SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Even though we have Memphis winning straight-up, we like South Florida at +12.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 157.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Can the Bulls Lock in a Road Win?

South Florida has struggled on the road this season, going 0-3 and being outscored by an average of 11 points per game. The Bulls have lost three straight on the road and are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.

Overall, South Florida is 9-5 this season, including a 2-1 record in American Athletic Conference play. The Bulls have been the underdog in four games this season, going 1-3.

South Florida’s ATS record this season is 8-5-1, and they are 0-2-1 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulls are 3-6-1.

Today’s over/under line of 157.5 is higher than the average over/under line in South Florida’s games this season (148). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 148 points.

In their latest game, South Florida’s offense looked good, scoring 81 points against Rice. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40% and made 25/29 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Chris Youngblood, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.9, while Selton Miguel also carries a PPG average of 14.6 into the game.

At this time, the Bulls’ defense is positioned 123rd in the country, permitting 70.3 points per game. So far, the South Florida defense is giving up an average of 8.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.1 times per game (405th).

Are the Tigers Ready for a Home Win?

Memphis enters this game as 12.5-point favorites, and they have been excellent in that role this season, going 13-0. They have also been dominant at home, going 9-0 with an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game.

Overall, Memphis has been on a roll, winning 10 straight games to improve to 15-2 on the season. They are also a perfect 4-0 in American Athletic Conference play.

Memphis has struggled against the spread this season, going 7-10 overall. Their ATS mark is even worse at home, where they are just 2-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 157.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Memphis’ games this season (149.4). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 175 points.

The Memphis offense is coming off a game where they scored 112 points against Wichita State. They posted a field goal percentage of 64.7% and connected on 19 threes. The Memphis offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

At this time, the Tigers’ defense is positioned 217th in the country, permitting 74.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 9.1 threes per game vs. South Florida. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.6%.