Planning on watching today’s Jaguars and Trojans game? Catch the action at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL, as the Trojans hosts this showdown at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Sun Belt conference game currently have Troy as the -8 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 150.5 points.


The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars +8

This game will be played at Trojan Arena at 5:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Even though we have Troy winning straight-up, we like South Alabama at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will South Alabama Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

South Alabama heads into this game as the underdog, as they have a record of 4-5 when not favored. They also have a losing streak of two games after falling to Louisiana-Monroe 80-66 in their last game. On the road this season, the Jaguars have gone 4-5.

For the season, South Alabama has an overall record of 10-10, including a 3-5 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. They have gone 7-5 in non-conference games this year. Over their last 10 road games, the Jaguars have gone 4-6.

South Alabama has an ATS record of 9-8 this season and is 5-4 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Jaguars have gone 5-4 vs. the spread this year and are 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, South Alabama has an ATS record of 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in South Alabama’s games this season (143.2). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 152 points.

South Alabama offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 66 points against Louisiana-Monroe. In that game, they made 12/36 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 32.9%. On the offensive front, the Jaguars have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 262nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 257th in terms of percentage and 203rd in three-pointers made.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, South Alabama is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 77.9 points per game (271st). In today’s game, the South Alabama defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 80 points.

Can Troy Secure a Home Victory?

At home, Troy has been dominant, going 8-1 this season, including a current eight-game winning streak. Over their last 10 games at home, the Trojans have gone 9-1, and they have won their last five games at home. On the season, they have outscored opponents by an average of 11.4 points per game at home.

Overall, Troy is 12-8 this season, including a 6-2 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. The Trojans have been the favorite in 10 of their 20 games, going 8-2 in those contests. Their most recent game was a 78-65 win over Texas State.

As the favorite this season, Troy has gone 8-2 against the spread. At home, they have an ATS mark of 8-1 this year and are 3-0 in their last three games at home vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Trojans have an ATS record of 8-2.

On the season, the over/under record in Troy games sits at 9-8. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 147.8, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 145.6. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and in their last five games, the average scoring total is 140 points.

In their most recent game, the Trojans’ offense tallied 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 79.8 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Myles Rigsby with 20 points. Christyon Eugene also added 17 points for the Trojans.

Coming into today’s game, the Troy defense is giving up an average of 69.3 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Texas State, the Bobcats finished with a field goal percentage of 54% and a total of 65 points vs. Troy.