Planning on watching today’s Jaguars and Warhawks game? Catch the action at Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, LA, as the Warhawks hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. In this Sun Belt matchup, South Alabama is favored by -4.5 vs. Louisiana-Monroe. The over/under for the game is 142.5 points.

SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS VS LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +4.5

This game will be played at Fant-Ewing Coliseum at 8:30 ET on Thursday, January 25th.

WHY BET THE LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Warhawks.
  • Not only will Louisiana-Monroe pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Jaguars Defense Show Up in Monroe?

South Alabama will be looking to bounce back from their loss to Louisiana-Lafayette as they head to face Louisiana-Monroe. So far this season, the Jaguars have gone 10-9, including a 3-4 record in Sun Belt Conference play.

On the road, South Alabama has gone 4-4, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 5-5. This season, they have been favored in seven games, going 4-3. Overall, their average scoring margin on the road is -9.8 points per game.

South Alabama has an overall ATS record of 9-7 this season. On the road, they have gone 5-3 vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Jaguars have a mark of 4-3 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, South Alabama has gone 7-3 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for South Alabama’s games is 9-7, and today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 143.3. So far, 10 of their games have had higher point totals than today’s line, including two of their last three contests. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those matchups is 162 points.

In their recent matchup, the South Alabama offense ended with 79 points against Louisiana-Lafayette. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 52.7% and made 7 threes. In terms of offense, the Jaguars have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 226th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 260th in percentage and 217th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the South Alabama defense is giving up an average of 77.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Louisiana-Monroe. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.9%.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Warhawks?

After picking up a win in their last game, the Warhawks will look to end their four-game losing streak at home. So far this season, Louisiana-Monroe has gone just 1-5 at home.

Through 17 games, the Warhawks have gone 5-12, including a 1-6 record in Sun Belt Conference play. As the underdog, they have gone just 2-10.

As the underdog this season, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 6-6 against the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 6-9. At home, however, the Warhawks have yet to cover the spread this year, going 0-6. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Louisiana-Monroe has an ATS record of 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Louisiana-Monroe games is 7-8 and today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.3). So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 144 points.

In their latest game, Louisiana-Monroe’s offense looked good, scoring 80 points against Old Dominion. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 49% and made 26/36 free throws. Leading the team in scoring was Tyreke Locure with 20 points. Tyreese Watson also added 16 points for the Warhawks.

On the defensive side, Louisiana-Monroe is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 73.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.9 threes per game vs. South Alabama. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.6%.