The Jaguars and Ragin’ Cajuns are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Ragin’ Cajuns will host the game at Cajundome in Lafayette, LA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 152.5 points, and Louisiana-Lafayette is favored by -9 to win at home against South Alabama.

SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS VS LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE RAGIN’ CAJUNS BETTING PICK

The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars +9

This game will be played at Cajundome at 8:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.

WHY BET THE SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Ragin’ Cajuns.
  • Even though we have Louisiana-Lafayette winning straight-up, we like South Alabama at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Can South Alabama Lock in a Road Win?

South Alabama enters this game with a 10-12 record, including a 3-7 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. They have lost four straight games, and their record as an underdog this season is 4-7.

On the road, the Jaguars have gone 4-7 this season, and they are coming off a 74-66 loss to Texas State. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 3-7, and their average scoring margin on the road is -9.5 points per game.

South Alabama has an ATS record of 10-9 this season, including a 6-5 mark vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Jaguars are 6-5 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, South Alabama has gone 6-4 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for South Alabama games is 11-8, and today’s line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.6). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 149 points compared to their season average of 151.1 points per game.

In their latest game, South Alabama offense put up 66 points against Texas State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 37.3% and made 8 threes. Offensively, the Jaguars have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 278th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 229th in percentage and 180th in three-pointers made.

Looking at the South Alabama defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 78.0 points per game (282nd). The South Alabama defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Texas State to connect on 8 threes.

Can the Ragin’ Cajuns Grab a Win at Home?

After winning their last game against Louisiana-Monroe by a score of 80-72, Louisiana-Lafayette comes into this game with a 14-8 record. They have won seven games in a row and are 8-3 in Sun Belt Conference play.

At home this season, the Ragin’ Cajuns are 8-1 and have won four games in a row. For the year, they have been favored in nine games and have gone 8-1 in those matchups.

As the favorite this season, Louisiana-Lafayette has gone 5-4 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 5-4 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Ragin’ Cajuns are 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Louisiana-Lafayette games is 12-9 and their matchups have averaged 150 points. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (149.7). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those matchups is 139 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Louisiana-Lafayette’s offense scored 80 points against Louisiana-Monroe. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.6%, and they went 22/27 from the free-throw line. Joe Charles was the leading scorer for the Ragin’ Cajuns, putting up 19 points. In addition, Kobe Julien contributed 19 points.

The Ragin’ Cajuns’ defense is presently ranked 154th nationally, allowing an average of 71.4 points per contest. Against Louisiana-Monroe in their most recent game, the Louisiana-Lafayette defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Louisiana-Monroe to hit 43% of their shots.