The Jaguars and Dukes are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Dukes will host the game at Atlantic Union Bank Center in Harrisonburg, VA. The odds for this Sun Belt conference game currently have the Dukes as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 155 points.
SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS VS JAMES MADISON DUKES BETTING PICK
The Pick: James Madison Dukes -12
This game will be played at Atlantic Union Bank Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE JAMES MADISON DUKES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-66 in favor of the Dukes.
- Not only will James Madison pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -12.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Do the Jaguars Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
South Alabama has been an underdog in five games this season and has gone 2-3 in those matchups. They have an overall record of 8-7, including a 1-1 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. On the road, the Jaguars have gone 3-3, and their average scoring margin is -8.3 points per game.
In their last game, South Alabama lost to Georgia State by a score of 90-76. Over their last 10 road games, the Jaguars have gone 5-5. So far this season, they have been an underdog in five games, and they have gone 2-3 in those matchups.
As the underdog this season, South Alabama has gone 3-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Jaguars have an ATS mark of 5-5. On the road this year, South Alabama is 4-2 ATS and over their last 10 road games, they have a record of 6-4 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for South Alabama games is 6-5 and their matchups have averaged 146.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 155 is higher than the average OU line in their games (140.3). So far, 11 of their games have had a lower over/under line than 155. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their matchups have averaged 153 points over their last five games.
In their latest game, South Alabama offense put up 76 points against Georgia State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.4% and made 7 threes. Offensively, the Jaguars hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 264th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 282nd in terms of percentage and 214th in three-pointers made.
The Jaguars’ defense is presently ranked 239th nationally, allowing an average of 75.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.5 threes per game vs. James Madison. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.6%.
Will James Madison Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
James Madison enters this game with a record of 14-1, including a 5-0 mark at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +19.0 points per game.
After losing their last game to Southern Miss by a score of 81-71, the Dukes have gone 5-0 in their last five games at home.
James Madison has an overall ATS record of 10-4 this season. At home, they are 3-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Dukes are 7-3 ATS.
This season, the over/under record in James Madison games is 7-6-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 158.6 points, which is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 153.5 points. So far, 6 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 155 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 142 points.
In contrast to their season average of 88.8 points per game, the James Madison had a below average performance. They scored 71 points against Southern Miss and had a field goal percentage of 39.4%. The team’s top scorer is Terrence Edwards, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.1, while T.J Bickerstaff also carries a PPG average of 15.9 into the game.
On the defensive side, James Madison is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.9 points per game. James Madison’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Southern Miss offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 81 points.