South Alabama at Texas State College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The South Alabama Jaguars (+8) will meet their in-conference foe Texas State Bobcats (-8) at Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium. This daytime matchup is scheduled to kick off at 3:00 p.m. ET and spectators can tune in to the action on ESPN+.

South Alabama at Texas State Betting Odds 11/9/2019

This SBC game’s line is placed at 8 points in favor of Texas State. The Jaguars are currently getting +250 moneyline odds while the Bobcats are -330. This SBC matchup should present some in-game betting possibilities. The over/under is set at 43.5 points.

The line opened at -7. The game’s total has yet to change since being set initially at 43.5.

The Jaguars are 1-7 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against SBC opponents. The Bobcats are 2-6 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play. The Jaguars are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 4.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-7.

The Bobcats have lost 3.0 units this season. They’re 0-5-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-5.

The Jags are most-recently on the rebound after a 30-3 defeat to Appalachian State on October 26. the Jaguars completed 6-of-19 passes for 52 yards. Cephus Johnson went three-for-11 for 9 yards while Desmond Trotter completed three-of-eight for 43 yards. Tra Minter (94 rushing yards on 23 attempts) propelled the running attack while Minter (one receptions, two yards) and Cade Sutherland (one catch, 30 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

One week ago, Louisiana knocked off this Texas State crew by a score of 31-3. Tyler Vitt completed 24-of-34 passes for 206 yards and two interceptions. Vitt (38 rushing yards on 10 attempts) handled the running game while Trevis Graham Jr. (six receptions, 52 yards) and Hutch White (five catches, 16 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

South Alabama’s run the ball on 62.4 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 60.2 percent across possessions in conference play. Texas State has a rush percentage of 43.1 percent, and has carried the ball 49.4 percent of the time against SBC opponents. The Jaguars have produced 150 rush yards per game (including 124 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bobcats are totaling 79 rushing yards per contest (113 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.

The Jags have averaged 141 yards through the air overall (136 per game against conference opposition) and have six passing TDs so far. The Bobcats have produced 226 pass yards per outing (181.8 against SBC competition) and have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, South Alabama has allowed 222 rush yards and 193 pass yards per game. Texas State has allowed 226.4 rushing yards per game and 189.3 to opposing teams in the air. The Bobcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.1 to opposing QBs, while the Jaguars have given up a 6.78 ANY/A.

Johnson is up to 717 passing yards this year, and has connected on 63-of-123 attempts with five passing touchdowns and five interceptions. Johnson has a 3.79 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 1.60 over the past two outings.

In the home locker room, Tyler Vitt has recorded 369 yards, two TDs and five INTs. Vitt’s ANY/A stands at a terrible 2.63 for the year and 2.81 over his last two outings.

When these two squads faced each other a year ago, South Alabama emerged victorious by a final score of 41-31.

South Alabama Jaguars at Texas State Bobcats NCAA Tip

SU Winner – South Alabama, ATS Winner – South Alabama, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The Texas State offense has lost three fumbles this season while South Alabama has let eight get away.

The South Alabama defense has 11 sacks on the year while Texas State has eight.

South Alabama has averaged 2.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.5 over its last two.

Texas State has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.0 over its last two.

Over its last three games, Texas State is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for South Alabama’s previous game was set at 51. The under cashed in the team’s 30-3 loss to Appalachian State.

Over its last three contests, South Alabama is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Texas State’s last outing was set at 55. The under cashed in that 31-3 defeat to Louisiana.

Leave a Reply