Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Mustangs versus the Shockers? Tip off is at at 3:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN2. The game will be played at Charles Koch Arena in Wichita, KS. SMU come into this American Athletic conference matchup as the -5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 145 points.
SMU MUSTANGS VS WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Wichita State Shockers +5
This game will be played at Charles Koch Arena at 3:00 ET on Sunday, January 28th.
WHY BET THE WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 72-71 in favor of the Shockers.
- Not only will Wichita State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Is a Road Win Possible for the Mustangs?
SMU enters today’s game as a 5-point favorite, and they have been excellent in this role, going 11-1. Overall, the Mustangs are 13-6, including a 4-2 mark in American Athletic Conference play.
On the road this season, SMU is 4-4, and they have gone just 4-6 in their last ten games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +5.8 compared to +18.3 at home, where they have won five straight.
SMU has a strong ATS record of 11-6-1 this season and are 8-3-1 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Mustangs are 6-2 ATS and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.
SMU’s over/under record for the season is 7-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 138.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 145 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (141.7). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 149 points.
In contrast to their season average of 75.7 points per game, the SMU had a below average performance. They scored 66 points against North Texas and had a field goal percentage of 45.1%. The team’s top scorer is Zhuric Phelps, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 14.7, while Chuck Harris also maintains a PPG average of 13.1 leading up to the game.
At present, the Mustangs’ defense is nationally ranked 11th, allowing 62.7 points per game. Against North Texas in their most recent game, the SMU defense gave up a total of 68 points while allowing North Texas to hit 44% of their shots.
Can the Shockers Lock in a Home Win?
Wichita State enters this game with an overall record of 8-11 and a losing streak of eight games. In American Athletic Conference play, the Shockers have yet to win a game, going 0-6.
On the season, Wichita State has been an underdog in seven games, going 0-7 in those matchups. The Shockers’ record at home this season is 5-6, and their average scoring margin at home is -2.3 points per game.
As the underdog this season, Wichita State has struggled vs. the spread, going just 1-5-1. Their overall ATS mark is 5-12-1, and they are only 3-8 ATS at home this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Shockers have gone just 2-6-2 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 145 is identical to the average point total in Wichita State’s games this season. So far, their over/under record is 10-8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, which is 10 points lower than the season average.
Compared to their season average of 72.9 points per game, Wichita State struggled in their previous game. Against East Carolina, the Shockers scored 52 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40.9%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Colby Rogers who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.5. Xavier Bell also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.1.
In terms of defense, Wichita State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. East Carolina, the Pirates finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 54 points vs. Wichita State.