Looking to win big? The Mustangs and Green Wave face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Green Wave are hosting the game at Devlin Fieldhouse in New Orleans, LA. In this American Athletic matchup, SMU is favored by -2.5 vs. Tulane. The over/under for the game is 158.5 points.

SMU MUSTANGS VS TULANE GREEN WAVE BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tulane Green Wave +2.5

This game will be played at Devlin Fieldhouse at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 15th.

WHY BET THE TULANE GREEN WAVE:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Green Wave.
  • Not only will Tulane pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Taking a Look at the Mustangs Chances on the Road

SMU will look to extend their win streak to five games as they head to Tulane as 2.5-point favorites. The Mustangs have gone 17-7 this season, including an 8-3 mark in the American Athletic Conference.

On the road, SMU has been outscoring opponents by an average of 6.7 points per game. They are 5-5 on the road compared to 11-2 at home.

When looking at SMU’s overall ATS record this season, they sit at 12-10-1. On the road, their ATS record is 7-3 and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3 vs. the spread. As the favorite, SMU is 9-7-1 vs. the spread this season and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have gone 5-4-1.

SMU’s over/under record for the season sits at 10-13 and the average over/under line in their games this year is 142.5. So far, 22 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line of 158.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

Compared to their season average of 76.2 points per game, SMU struggled in their previous game. Against North Texas, the Mustangs scored 71 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1%. Offensively, the Mustangs have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 122nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 202nd in percentage and 195th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the SMU defense is giving up an average of 64.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, SMU’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.7% this season.

Does Tulane Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Heading into their matchup with SMU, Tulane has gone 9-5 at home this season, compared to 3-5 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +8.0, while it is -3.4 on the road. Tulane’s record as an underdog is 1-7, compared to 11-3 as the favorite.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Green Wave have gone 6-4. In their most recent game, they lost to Memphis, 90-78. So far this season, Tulane has gone 13-10, including a 4-7 mark in conference play.

As the underdog this season, Tulane has gone 3-5 against the spread. In their last three games as the underdog, the Green Wave have an ATS record of 2-1. At home, Tulane has an ATS mark of 7-7 this year and they are 5-4 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 158.5 is very close to the average over/under line in Tulane’s games this season (158.1). So far, 10 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1 and over their last 10 games, the over/under record is 5-4-1. The average scoring total in their last three games is 165 points.

Against Memphis, the Tulane had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 84.8 points per game. They scored 78 points and posted a field goal percentage of 38.1% in the game. Offensively, the Green Wave have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 46th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 154th in percentage and 152nd in three-pointers made.

Looking at the Tulane defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 79.8 points per game (307th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Tulane’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.7% this season.