Planning on watching today’s Mustangs and Bulls game? Catch the action at Yuengling Center in Tampa, FL, as the Bulls hosts this showdown at 12:00 ET on ESPNU. In this American Athletic matchup, SMU is favored by -1.5 vs. South Florida. The over/under for the game is 147 points.


The Pick: South Florida Bulls +1.5

This game will be played at Yuengling Center at 12:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Bulls.
  • Not only will South Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Does SMU Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

SMU is favored by 1.5 points in today’s game against South Florida. The Mustangs have been favored in 19 of their 27 games this season, going 17-2 in those contests.

On the road, SMU has gone 6-6 this season, and they are coming off a loss to Florida Atlantic. Over their last 10 road games, SMU has a record of 5-5.

SMU has an overall ATS record of 14-11-1 this season. As the favorite, the Mustangs have gone 11-7-1 vs. the spread. On the road this year, SMU has an ATS mark of 8-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mustangs have gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

SMU’s over/under record for the season is 12-14 and their games have averaged 143.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 147 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (144.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 166 points.

In their latest game, SMU offense put up 70 points against Florida Atlantic. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.3% and made 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Zhuric Phelps, who is averaging 14.7 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Chuck Harris also maintains a PPG average of 13.4 heading into game.

Coming into today’s game, the SMU defense is giving up an average of 66.2 points per contest. The SMU defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 80 points and allowed Florida Atlantic to connect on 7 threes.

Taking a Look at the Bulls Chances at Home

South Florida enters this game with a 20-5 record, and they have won 12 straight games. They are 13-1 in American Athletic Conference play, and they are 14-2 at home this season. In their last game, the Bulls defeated UTSA 66-61, and they have gone 10-0 in their last 10 games at home.

As the underdog, South Florida has gone 5-3 this season, and they are 5-0 in their last five games at home. On the year, they have been the underdog in eight games, and they have gone 15-2 when favored. For the season, they have a point differential of +10.4 at home, compared to -0.1 on the road.

As the underdog, South Florida has been a solid bet this season. The Bulls have an ATS record of 5-2-1 when they are the underdog this year. At home, their ATS mark is 12-3-1, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in South Florida games is 8-17 and today’s over/under line of 147 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (147.1). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points.

Coming off their recent game, the South Florida offense tallied 66 points in a matchup against UTSA. Their field goal percentage for the game was 37.1%, and they made 4 threes. Chris Youngblood is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15. Meanwhile, Selton Miguel also brings a PPG average of 14.8 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the South Florida defense is giving up an average of 68.5 points per contest. South Florida’s three-point defense is currently 123rd in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. South Florida.