Betting on today’s Mustangs and Mean Green game? Catch the action at UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX, as the Mean Green hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The odds for this American Athletic conference game currently have North Texas as the -1 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 126.5 points.
SMU MUSTANGS VS NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN BETTING PICK
The Pick: North Texas Mean Green -1
This game will be played at UNT Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.
WHY BET THE NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Mean Green.
- Not only will North Texas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 126.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Mustangs Find a Way to Win on the Road?
SMU enters tonight’s game as the underdog, as they are 1-4 this season when not favored. The Mustangs have been much better at home, going 8-2 compared to 4-3 on the road.
Over their last ten road games, SMU has gone just 4-6, but they have won three straight coming into tonight’s game. Their overall record this season is 13-5.
As the underdog, SMU has gone 3-2 vs. the spread this season and 5-4-1 over their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Mustangs have been even better vs. the spread, going 6-1 this year and 7-2-1 over their last 10 road games.
SMU’s over/under record for the season is 6-11 and today’s line of 126.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.6). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 151 points.
In their recent matchup, the SMU offense ended with 103 points against Tulsa. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 51.4% and made 12 threes. Zhuric Phelps is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.3. Meanwhile, Chuck Harris also brings a PPG average of 13.3 into the game.
Coming into today’s game, the SMU defense is giving up an average of 62.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Tulsa, the Golden Hurricane finished with a field goal percentage of 51% and a total of 70 points vs. SMU.
Can the North Texas Offense Score Enough at Home?
North Texas will be looking to bounce back from their 56-44 loss to Charlotte. On the season, the Mean Green have an 11-6 record, including a 4-1 mark in American Athletic Conference play.
At home, North Texas has been a tough team to beat, going 6-3. Their average scoring margin at home is +9.6 points per game, and they are currently riding a three-game winning streak.
North Texas has an ATS record of 9-6 this season and they are 6-3 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mean Green are 7-3 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 126.5 is lower than the average over/under line in North Texas’ games this season (127.7). So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 112 points compared to their season average of 124.8 points per game.
In contrast to their season average of 67.5 points per game, the North Texas had a below average performance. They scored 44 points against Charlotte and had a field goal percentage of 32.1%. Offensively, the Mean Green have a season long field goal percentage of 42%, which is 305th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 164th in percentage and 157th in three-pointers made.
Currently, the Mean Green’s defense holds the 4th rank in the nation, allowing 58.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.0 threes per game vs. SMU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.7%.