Looking to win big? The Mustangs and Owls face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Owls are hosting the game at FAU Arena in Boca Raton, FL. The over/under for this game is set at 154 points, and Florida Atlantic is favored by -6.5 vs. SMU in a American Athletic conference matchup.


The Pick: SMU Mustangs +6.5

This game will be played at FAU Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 72-71 in favor of the Owls.
  • Even though we have Florida Atlantic winning straight-up, we like SMU at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Do the Mustangs Have What it Takes in Boca Raton?

SMU will be playing their 27th game of the season against Florida Atlantic. So far, they have a record of 19-7. When playing on the road, SMU has gone 6-5, while they have gone 12-2 at home. Examining SMU’s ATS performance, they currently hold a 14-10-1 record. Looking at their previous five games, they are 3-2 vs. the spread.

SMU’s games have, on average, featured 143.4 points per game leading to an over/under record of 12-13-0. Their average over/under line is currently 143.7 points so far. The Mustangs have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last three games, with their games averaging 163 points per game.

SMU finished with 106 points in their game against Memphis. This total surpasses their season-average of 77.8 points per game. On the offensive front, the Mustangs have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 106th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 170th in terms of percentage and 165th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Mustangs’ defense is positioned 34th in the country, permitting 65.7 points per game. So far, the SMU defense is giving up an average of 10.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (527th).

Pressure Builds for Florida Atlantic as Home Favorites

Florida Atlantic will be playing their 27th game of the season with a 20-6 record. Away from home, they are 8-5 while they are 12-1 at home. Florida Atlantic’s record vs. the spread heading into today’s game stands at 12-14. On the road, the Owls are 5-8 ATS, while at home they are 7-6 vs. the spread.

Florida Atlantic’s games have, on average, featured 156.2 points per game leading to an over/under record of 14-12-0. Their average over/under line is currently 149.8 points so far. The Owls have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 164 points per game and an over/under record of 3-2.

Florida Atlantic’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 86 points vs. South Florida. Overall, they hit 50% of their shots from the field and went 18/24 from the free-throw line. For the season, the Florida Atlantic offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 48%. So far, they have hit 55% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 9 made three’s per contest.

So far, the Owls’ defense is ranked 190th in the country at 72.8 points per contest. Florida Atlantic’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the South Florida offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 90 points.