The Mustangs and Owls are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Owls will host the game at FAU Arena in Boca Raton, FL. This American Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 154 points, and Florida Atlantic is favored to win by -6.5 at home vs. SMU.


The Pick: SMU Mustangs +6.5

This game will be played at FAU Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 72-71 in favor of the Owls.
  • Even though we have Florida Atlantic winning straight-up, we like SMU at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can SMU Pull Off a Road Win?

This is SMU’s 27th game of the season, and they come in with a record of 19-7. When playing away from home, the Mustangs are 6-5, while they are 12-2 at home. SMU has a winning record against the spread, sitting at 14-10-1. In their last ten games, SMU is 3-2 vs. the spread.

In 26 games, SMU comes in with an over/under mark of 12-13-0, with their games averaging 143.4 points per game. In their most recent three games, the Mustangs’ over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 163 points per game.

The SMU offense is coming off a game in which they scored 106 points vs. Memphis. Overall their field goal percentage was 56.8% while connecting on 12 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Ricardo Wright with 26 points. Samuell Williamson also added 18 points for the Mustangs.

This season, the SMU defense has been impressive, holding the 34th position in the country while permitting an average of 65.7 points per contest. SMU’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Memphis offense to knock down 56% of their shots on their way to putting up 79 points.

Can the Owls Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Florida Atlantic will be playing their 27th game of the season when they face SMU. Their overall record is 20-6. When playing on the road, the Owls have a record of 8-5, while they are 12-1 at home. As of today’s game, Florida Atlantic holds a 12-14 ATS record, while their ATS record in the last five games is 2-3.

After 26 games, Florida Atlantic has an over/under record of 14-12-0, with their games averaging a combined 156.2 points per game so far. The Owls have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 167 points per game.

In their previous game, the Owls’ offense finished with 86 points, which is right in line with their current average of 83.4 points per contest. One area that the Florida Atlantic offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 107th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 48%.

On the defensive side, Florida Atlantic is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.8 points per game. Florida Atlantic’s three-point defense is currently 155th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.0% of their shots vs. Florida Atlantic.