Planning on watching today’s Mustangs and Pirates game? Catch the action at Minges Coliseum in Greenville, NC, as the Pirates hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mustangs come into this American Athletic conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 137 points.

SMU MUSTANGS VS EAST CAROLINA PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: East Carolina Pirates +4.5

This game will be played at Minges Coliseum at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE EAST CAROLINA PIRATES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-67 in favor of the Pirates.
  • Not only will East Carolina pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 141 points.

Can the Mustangs Lock in a Road Win?

SMU comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 9 of their 15 games this season. They are 8-1 when favored, and they have a record of 10-5 overall, including a 1-1 mark in American Athletic Conference play.

On the road, SMU is 3-3 this season, and their average scoring margin in these games is +6.2 points per game. However, they have gone just 3-7 in their last 10 road games.

When it comes to covering the spread, SMU has been solid this season with a 9-5 record. On the road, they have been even better, going 5-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mustangs have an ATS mark of 7-3.

SMU’s over/under record this season is 3-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 135.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average OU line in their games (142.9). This year, 12 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s total. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 132 points.

In their most recent game, the SMU offense concluded with only 59 points against Memphis. Throughout the game, they made 3/21 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 33.8%. Tyreek Smith led the team in scoring, putting up 12 points. Additionally, Zhuric Phelps contributed 9 points for the Mustangs.

At present, the Mustangs’ defense is nationally ranked 9th, allowing 61.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.6 threes per game vs. East Carolina. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 25.7%.

Can The Pirates Secure a Home Victory?

East Carolina will look to continue their two-game win streak as they host SMU. The Pirates are 9-7 overall, including a 7-4 mark at home, and they are 2-1 in American Athletic Conference play. So far, they have been the underdog in six games, going 2-4.

In their last game, the Pirates defeated Temple by a score of 73-62. Over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 6-4. On the season, East Carolina has been outscored by an average of 7.8 points per game on the road, compared to a +5.1 average scoring margin at home.

East Carolina’s ATS record this season is 7-7-1. At home this year, the Pirates have gone 4-6-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, East Carolina has a record of 7-3 vs. the spread.

East Carolina’s over/under record this season is 6-9 and the average over/under line in their games is 143.9. So far, their games have averaged 141.3 points per game. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3. Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season and there have been more games with more points than today’s line (9) than games with less points (6).

In their latest game, East Carolina offense put up 73 points against Temple. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 54% and made 9 threes. Russell Felton Jr. is leading the team in scoring at 16.6 points per contest. Brandon Johnson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.9 going into the game.

Currently, the Pirates’ defense holds the 118th rank in the nation, allowing 69.2 points per game. East Carolina’s three-point defense is currently 130th in the country at 7.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 47.0% of their shots vs. East Carolina.