Looking to win big? The Cougars and Leathernecks face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Leathernecks are hosting the game at Western Hall in Macomb, IL. The over/under for this game is set at 138 points, and Western Illinois is favored by -3.5 vs. SIUE in a Ohio Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: Western Illinois Leathernecks -3.5

This game will be played at Western Hall at 4:30 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Leathernecks.
  • Not only will Western Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Cougars Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

SIUE is 16-14 this season and 9-8 in Ohio Valley Conference play. The Cougars are 2-12 on the road and have lost their last two games.

For the season, SIUE has been an underdog 10 times, going 1-9 in those games. The Cougars’ average scoring margin on the road is -8.8 points per game, compared to +7.1 at home.

As the underdog, SIUE has gone just 3-6-1 against the spread this season and they are 11-15-1 overall. On the road, the Cougars have an ATS record of just 3-10-1 and they are 0-5 vs. the spread in their last 5 road games. Over their last 10 road games, SIUE has gone just 1-8-1 ATS.

SIUE’s over/under record this season is 16-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 140.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 138 is lower than the average OU line in their games (139.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and their OU record over their last ten games is 8-2.

Coming off a good offensive performance, SIUE’s offense scored 79 points against Eastern Illinois. Their field goal percentage for the game was 38.7%, and they went 16/24 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Cougars have a season long field goal percentage of 42%, which is 321st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 230th in percentage and 192nd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the SIUE defense is giving up an average of 70.1 points per contest. Against Eastern Illinois in their most recent game, the SIUE defense gave up a total of 84 points while allowing Eastern Illinois to hit 44% of their shots.

Will the Leathernecks Come Through as Home Favorites?

Western Illinois will enter this game as the favorite, as they have gone 10-3 when favored this season. The Leathernecks have an average scoring margin of +0.6 at home, and they have gone 5-5 at home this season.

Overall, Western Illinois has a record of 19-11, and they have gone 12-5 in Ohio Valley Conference play. They have won their last two games, and they are coming off of a 70-66 win over Eastern Illinois.

Western Illinois has been inconsistent against the spread this season, going 13-13. They have struggled at home, going just 2-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Leathernecks are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Western Illinois’ over/under record for the season sits at 8-17-1, and today’s line of 138 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (137.2). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points, and during their last 10 games, the over/under record is 4-5-1.

In their recent game, the Leathernecks’ offense concluded with 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 69.3 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Leathernecks have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 272nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 209th in percentage and 316th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Leathernecks’ defense is positioned 28th in the country, permitting 65.4 points per game. Western Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 12th in the country at 5.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.9% of their shots vs. Western Illinois.