2017-18 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Golf Betting Odds & Picks

Last Updated: 2017-10-31

Shriners Open 2017Following the PGA Tour Asian swing, the players head back stateside for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open at TPC Summerlin in beautiful Las Vegas, Nevada. It comes as no surprise that this is a fairly weak field coming off of a WGC event and with the holiday break on the horizon. Most of golf’s biggest names will be out until after the New Year when the Tournament of Champions is played in Kapalua, Hawaii.

Nevertheless, we have some action to consider and these are big events for guys looking to scoop up some wins, some paychecks, some FedEx Cup points, and also put themselves in things like the Tournament of Champions or get access into some of the major events. This event, the OHL Classic at Mayakoba, and the RSM Classic are good opportunities for lesser-known players to participate in fields that don’t have the game’s best, so these are good chances to find some value guys for future events.

The Shriners Hospitals for Children Open used to be a 90-hole tournaments until 2003, but is now the traditional 72 holes. There are a lot of things going on, including a Celebrity Pro-Am and also some benefit concerts. Las Vegas has hosted an event every year since 1983, with the exception of 2013, when the PGA Tour went to the wraparound schedule and didn’t have a spot for this tournament. Last year, the event ended on November 6 and that was the latest finishing date in its history. This year, the tournament, weather permitting, will end on November 5.

The par 71 at TPC Summerlin presents some challenges. The lack of moisture in Las Vegas does make the fairways a little bit friendlier for those that hit low line drives off the tee, but the greens can be quite quick from the sun baking them all day long. There is a little bit of altitude at this course as well and sometimes the desert winds can pick up a little bit. Conditions can sometimes dictate the winning scores here, like we saw in 2015, when Smylie Kaufman won by one shot at 16-under and the field was bunched up with six guys that finished in second. Webb Simpson and Ryan Moore had great conditions when they set and then tied the course record 260 at 24-under. The par 4s are very favorable at this course.

Like most of these wraparound events, you’ll want to take some shots further down the board. Tony Finau is the favorite at 5Dimes Sportsbook at +1400, but it’s hard to make a play on a guy like that who would be in the +4000 or +5000 range with a different field. After all, reigning champion Rod Pampling is going off at better than 250/1. Recent winners Smylie Kaufman and Ben Martin are at 55/1 and 66/1, respectively. With a field like this, we just don’t know who could come out on top, so spreading your allotted units around on some longer shots is certainly the way to go.

As far as Finau goes, he was second in the Safeway Open and played fairly well during the Asian swing with a 26th at the CJ Cup and an 11th at the WGC-HSBC. That makes him the highest finisher from last week’s tournament to be in this week’s field. He’s a big hitter that can really shorten this course, but he hasn’t had any remarkable success here to justify this price. Finau was seventh back in 2014 and has a couple of top-15 finishes here in the past.

Usually we list the favorites and give some thoughts about them, but with this tournament, let’s just focus on some guys to take a shot on. Ryan Moore at +2800 makes a lot of sense as a past winner with two top-15 finishes since that victory in 2012. Moore did not make the Asian swing, so he’s had a couple of weeks off. He was 17th at the Safeway Open to start off his season and then took a couple weeks off. Moore had a shoulder injury about halfway through the PGA Tour season and a little bit of downtime probably helped. Moore was the favorite at +1600 last year, so we have a bit more line value this year.

Past winner Smylie Kaufman played really well last week in Jackson, Mississippi at the Sanderson Farms Championship. Kaufman finished 10-under and tied for fourth, though he was nine shots behind Ryan Armour, who won and has gotten a bump in his price tag this week as a result. Kaufman only shot even par 284 last year after winning in 2015, so maybe it was the anomaly to see him come out on top, but his price is decent enough at +5500 to take a look and see what he can do.

One of the things that makes handicapping this tournament tough is that a lot of these players are inconsistent, so you don’t have a lot of course form data on guys that have regularly played well here or pretty much anywhere. With that in mind, a guy like Jimmy Walker at +5500 is a decent look. Walker has one of the higher ceilings of the guys in the field. He was fourth in this event two years ago. A final-round 78 sent him plummeting down the board in 2015, but he shot 66-67-69 in the first three rounds. Last year he missed the cut with a 74-76, so his recent performance wasn’t great, but he is one of the more accomplished players in this field.

Ten of the past 15 winners have won their first career events here, so feel free to spread money around and hope for the best.

Coverage of the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open will be on Golf Channel throughout the event.

Odds as of October 31, 1:00 p.m. ET

Tony Finau +1400

Patrick Cantlay +1800

Webb Simpson +1800

Anirban Lahiri +2500

Chesson Hadley +2500

Kevin Chappell +2500

Ryan Moore +2800

Luke List +3000

Gary Woodland +3300

Charley Hoffman +3500

Kevin Na +3500

Bubba Watson +4000

Byeong Hun An +4500

Jason Kokrak +4500

Kevin Streelman +4500

Martin Laird +4500

Jamie Lovemark +5000

Jimmy Walker +5500

Smylie Kaufman +5500

William McGirt +5500

Austin Cook +6600

Ben Martin +6600

Bryson Dechambeau +6600

J.B. Holmes +6600

Scott Piercy +6600

Chris Kirk +7500

David Lingmerth +7500

James Hahn +7500

Russell Knox +7500

Ryan Armour +7500

Scott Brown +7500

Billy Horschel +8000

Harold Varner III +8000

Nick Taylor +8000

Andrew Landry +8500

Bronson Burgoon +8500

Brandon Hagy +9500

Harris English +9500

Kevin Tway +9500

Nick Watney +9500

Patrick Rodgers +9500

Aaron Wise +10000

Graeme McDowell +10000

Patton Kizzire +10000

Sam Saunders +10000

Seamus Power +10000

Vaughn Taylor +10000

Whee Kim +10000

Ben Silverman +11000

Brice Garnett +11000

C.T. Pan +11000

David Hearn +11000

Geoff Ogilvy +11000

Hunter Mahan +11000

Jonathan Byrd +11000

Jonathan Randolph +11000

Luke Donald +11000

Matt Jones +11000

Morgan Hoffmann +11000

Rob Oppenheim +11000

Robert Streb +11000

Shawn Stefani +11000

Tyrone Van Aswegen +11000

Aaron Baddeley +12500

Brian Stuard +13500

Cameron Tringale +13500

Chad Campbell +13500

Fabián Gómez +13500

Martin Flores +13500

Ricky Barnes +13500

Robert Garrigus +13500

Tyler Duncan +13500

Zac Blair +13500

Ben Crane +14500

Daniel Summerhays +14500

Scott Stallings +14500

Corey Conners +15000

Alex Cejka +15500

Andrew Putnam +15500

Camilo Villegas +15500

Nicholas Lindheim +15500

Ted Potter, Jr. +15500

Tom Lovelady +16000

J.J. Spaun +16500

Michael Kim +16500

Beau Hossler +17500

Brian Gay +17500

Derek Fathauer +17500

John Huh +17500

Peter Malnati +17500

Retief Goosen +17500

Rory Sabbatini +17500

Ryan Blaum +17500

Talor Gooch +17500

Tom Hoge +17500

Richy Werenski +18000

Steve Wheatcroft +18000

Vijay Singh +18000

Billy Hurley III +20000

Brett Stegmaier +20500

Keith Mitchell +20500

Kelly Kraft +21000

Matt Every +21000

Maverick McNealy +2100

Sam Burns +2100

Brandon Harkins +22000

Xinjun Zhang +22000

Denny McCarthy +22500

Jonas Blixt +25000

Martin Piller +22500

Nate Lashley +22500

Troy Merritt +22500

Stephan Jaeger +25000

Rod Pampling +25500

J.T. Poston +27000

Abraham Ancer +27500

Adam Schenk +27500

Lanto Griffin +27500

Matt Atkins +27500

Sam Ryder +27500

Sangmoon Bae +28500

Joel Dahmen +30000

Ernie Els +32500

Michael Thompson +32500

Trey Mullinax +32500

Colt Knost +37500

Greg Chalmers +37500

Jimmy Stanger +37500

Jon Curran +37500

Zecheng Dou +37500

Andrew Yun +45000

Brian Davis +45000

D.A. Points +45000

Kyle Thompson +45000

Ethan Tracy +55000

Roberto Díaz +65000

A.J. McInerney +85000

Jesse Mueller +100000

 

-END OF 2017-18 PREVIEW-

 

Golf will be the story at TPC Summerlin this week, but the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open is definitely about a lot more than sport. This event benefits the Shriners Hospitals, which specialize in care for children around the world, including burn victims and those with spinal cord injuries. It just so happens that there’s a golf tournament this weekend as well.

There are only three events left in 2016 for the PGA Tour during the wraparound portion of the schedule. There were two events last week, as Cody Gribble won the Sanderson Farms Championship in Jackson, Mississippi and Hideki Matsuyama won his biggest event to date in the WGC-HSBC Champions at Sheshan in Shanghai, China. This is a far less impressive field than the one in China last weekend, but there are still a few notable players in the running this week.

Up until 2004, this tournament was actually a 90-hole extravaganza.  It’s now down to the regular 72 holes and is a par 71 measuring about 7,240 yards. There are quite a few players that live out in Las Vegas, including Ryan Moore and Kevin Na, both of whom have won this event in the past. It’s been six years since a non-American-born player has won the event and that was Martin Laird back in 2009.

Birdies and pars are good scores here because there is only one drivable par 4 for the players. Players seem to be able to rack those up with regularity as well, although last year’s 16-under winning score was the lowest in this event since 1988. Six players finished at 15-under last year, so Smylie Kaufman was really fortunate to avoid what would have been a large and chaotic playoff. Kaufman’s one-stroke win was the first in this event by that margin since 2012. Kaufman’s final-round 61 was an incredible round and he fired an eagle and seven birdies over the final 11 holes.

Per the oddsmakers at 5Dimes Sportsbook, U.S. Ryder Cup team member and past Shriners Hospitals for Children Open champion Ryan Moore is the favorite at +1600. Moore won this event back in 2012 and tied the event record with a 260 over his four rounds. He hasn’t played well over the last two seasons, but he was tied for ninth in 2013 when Webb Simpson blew the field away. It’s fair to wonder if Moore is running a little bit low on gas, though. He was 17th in Malaysia and 23rd in the WGC-HSBC Champions. Those are decent finishes, but he really only had one strong round in each event. He’s played a lot lately and the holiday break is probably something he needs.

Brooks Koepka is an interesting second favorite this week at +1800. Koepka missed the cut last year after tying for fourth in 2014. Koepka shot 69-64-68-68 in that event after missing the cut in 2013. It seems like he’s been pretty inconsistent in these wraparound events in his career and this one is sort of a microcosm of that. Koepka has the length to shorten this course and put up the type of number it takes to win, but he has to make more putts. The value just may not be there. He’s also coming back from China after finishing with a final-round 76 and four bogies on the back nine.

Francesco Molinari and Jon Rahm are priced at +2500. Molinari had a strong finish last week at Sheshan when he was sixth at 14-under. He had three top-10 finishes last season on tour, but he struggled in the big events and missed the cut in The Barclays. Maybe he made some adjustments during the layoff. He won the Italian Open on the European Tour during his slow period, so there’s some reason to believe that he found something. Like Molinari, Rahm is playing this event for the first time. He played very well at the Safeway Open a couple weeks ago and finished 15th while hitting 78 percent of the greens in regulation. The 21-year-old is on the verge of pushing into the upper echelon on the PGA Tour and this seems like a good event for him to grab his first win. Ben Martin was a first-time winner here in 2014 and Smylie Kaufman won his first event last year. It is the only win of Kevin Na’s career.

Another player without a win that could fare very well here this week is Patton Kizzire. Kizzire was second in the Safeway Open and he was one of the six runners-up in this event last year. Kizzire also played well at the OHL Classic in Mayakoba last season, so maybe he just has an affinity for these wraparound tournaments. He didn’t play well in the Sanderson Farms this year, but he got to go to Las Vegas early, which is never a bad thing. Kizzire is a moderate long shot at +4500 this week.

Those looking for a real long shot may want to take a look at Jason Bohn at +12500. Bohn has played very well in this event in the past. He was one of the six guys that tied for second last year. He cracked the top 20 in 2014 at 11-under. He was also the runner-up in 2013. The 43-year-old was 70th last week and missed the cut at the Safeway Open, so he’s not in great form, but his course form is pretty spectacular in this event.

Interested viewers and bettors can check this one out on Golf Channel Thursday through Sunday.

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